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The Latest Breaking News from Reserve Bank

The RBA conflict that could decide its next rates call

Australia's central bank must abandon its narrow path and choose between getting inflation down quickly or keeping unemployment low, economists say.

AAP

Top forecaster's dire prediction if Iran war drags on

Australia could enter a recession, with the Reserve Bank raising interest rates a further three times, economists warn as fears of a protracted conflict mount.

AAP

RBA to air board's disagreement in meeting minutes

Central bank watchers will get to peak into the Reserve Bank board room as minutes of a meeting that split 5-4 in favour of an interest rate hike are released.

AAP

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Global group backs cuts, rate rises to curb inflation

Australia's inflation rate will peak higher than previously forecast, as surging oil costs cause consumer prices to increase, a Paris-based policy body says.

AAP

RBA ready to shift up a gear as the neutral rate rises

The Iran war will hurt consumers by pushing up prices and slowing the economy but the Reserve Bank must act to contain inflation expectations, an official says.

AAP

Australians can expect high fuel costs to linger for far longer than the war in Iran

Rising inflation and unemployment mean effects of Iran war could be even worse than the post-Covid cost-of-living crisis

The Guardian - AU

Unions urge five per cent pay rise as inflation bites

Employer groups warn a pay rise above inflation for minimum wage earners would only tip more fuel onto the fire as rising petrol prices worry the Reserve Bank.

AAP

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RBA frets over severe global shock from Middle East war

Spillover from the Iran war and an uptick in risky lending to first-home buyers could threaten Australia's financial stability, the Reserve Bank warns.

AAP

Spike in jobless rate unlikely to end RBA hiking cycle

A rise in unemployment and a surge in hiring point to conflicting impulses in Australia's labour market, but conditions remain relatively tight.

AAP

Aussie shares climb on steady oil price, rate outlook

A temporary lull in energy price pressures has sparked cautious optimism in equities, despite no end in sight for the Iran conflict or its impact on oil supply.

AAP

Treasurer warns of major economic damage from Iran war

Fresh modelling shows oil price shocks and soaring prices for other commodities will have a lasting impact on Australia's economy.

AAP

Afternoon Update: RBA hikes cash rate for second straight month; Trump seeks to delay China summit amid Iran war; and the 6.30pm rule

Hike takes Reserve Bank’s cash rate target from 3.85% to 4.1%, wiping out the relief offered by two cuts last year

The Guardian - AU

Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty

Traders and economists widely expect the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates but uncertainty over the Iran war could convince the board to keep them on hold.

AAP

Big four banks predict three consecutive RBA rate hikes

The Middle East conflict could prompt the Aussie dollar to plummet and the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates to 15-year highs in 2026, analysts say.

AAP

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The Conversation

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Middle East war set to push inflation higher than forecast, warns RBA deputy governor

The Reserve Bank’s Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser says inflation in Australia looks likely to be higher than projected before the war in the Middle East broke out.

The Conversation

Australian economy picks up speed, but managing inflation and rates is getting harder

Australia’s economy grew at its fastest annual rate in almost three years in the December quarter, rising 2.6%, although this is still modest growth by historical standards.

AAP

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

The battle to tame inflation has been thrown into more uncertainty by conflict in Iran and the Middle East, the Reserve Bank governor says.

AAP

Latest data under spotlight as pressure builds on rates

Fresh economic figures will be scrutinised by the Reserve Bank of Australia as it assesses the nation's economy before a key meeting on interest rates.

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AAP

Inflation to stay on hold in first data post rates hike

The first round of inflation data released after the Reserve Bank chose to lift interest rates will be handed down.

AAP

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

Minutes from the Reserve Bank's latest meeting reveal the thinking behind its call to lift interest rates for the first in more than two years.

AAP

Private demand under the microscope after rate hike

Fresh data will reveal whether the strong momentum in private spending, which spurred the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates, has continued into 2026.

The Conversation

Is federal government spending really to blame for higher inflation? It’s not clear cut

There has been a spate of articles and commentary in recent days calling on the Australian government to reduce spending.

AAP

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Opposition MPs have grilled Reserve Bank officials over whether government spending and monetary policy errors contributed to the first rate hike in two years.

AAP

Greens hold door open to capital gains tax reforms

Support from the Greens could hold the key to opening the door to capital gains tax changes as the government ponders reforms the opposition says it won't back.

AAP

Australian shares reverse early dip as miners soar

The local bourse has gained for a second straight session, supported by resurgent gold stocks and a positive outlook for the Aussie dollar.

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