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The Latest Breaking News from Reserve Bank

Afternoon Update: RBA hikes cash rate for second straight month; Trump seeks to delay China summit amid Iran war; and the 6.30pm rule

Hike takes Reserve Bank’s cash rate target from 3.85% to 4.1%, wiping out the relief offered by two cuts last year

The Guardian - AU

Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty

Traders and economists widely expect the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates but uncertainty over the Iran war could convince the board to keep them on hold.

AAP

Big four banks predict three consecutive RBA rate hikes

The Middle East conflict could prompt the Aussie dollar to plummet and the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates to 15-year highs in 2026, analysts say.

AAP

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Politics with Michelle Grattan: Middle East war set to push inflation higher than forecast, warns RBA deputy governor

The Reserve Bank’s Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser says inflation in Australia looks likely to be higher than projected before the war in the Middle East broke out.

The Conversation

Australian economy picks up speed, but managing inflation and rates is getting harder

Australia’s economy grew at its fastest annual rate in almost three years in the December quarter, rising 2.6%, although this is still modest growth by historical standards.

The Conversation

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

The battle to tame inflation has been thrown into more uncertainty by conflict in Iran and the Middle East, the Reserve Bank governor says.

AAP

Latest data under spotlight as pressure builds on rates

Fresh economic figures will be scrutinised by the Reserve Bank of Australia as it assesses the nation's economy before a key meeting on interest rates.

AAP

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Inflation to stay on hold in first data post rates hike

The first round of inflation data released after the Reserve Bank chose to lift interest rates will be handed down.

AAP

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

Minutes from the Reserve Bank's latest meeting reveal the thinking behind its call to lift interest rates for the first in more than two years.

AAP

Private demand under the microscope after rate hike

Fresh data will reveal whether the strong momentum in private spending, which spurred the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates, has continued into 2026.

AAP

Is federal government spending really to blame for higher inflation? It’s not clear cut

There has been a spate of articles and commentary in recent days calling on the Australian government to reduce spending.

The Conversation

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Opposition MPs have grilled Reserve Bank officials over whether government spending and monetary policy errors contributed to the first rate hike in two years.

AAP

Greens hold door open to capital gains tax reforms

Support from the Greens could hold the key to opening the door to capital gains tax changes as the government ponders reforms the opposition says it won't back.

AAP

Australian shares reverse early dip as miners soar

The local bourse has gained for a second straight session, supported by resurgent gold stocks and a positive outlook for the Aussie dollar.

AAP

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AAP

Forecasters dial up rate bets as banks prepare to hike

With the RBA showing stronger resolve to rein in inflation, banks will more likely than not be lifting home loan rates again in a few months, economists say.

The Conversation

RBA raises interest rates as inflation pressures remain high

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, adding to pressure on households and businesses. While the move was widely expected by markets and most economists, the Reserve Bank says inflation risks remain too high to be comfortable.

AAP

Borrowed time: rate hike unlikely to be one-and-done

Mortgage holders could face back-to-back rate hikes after the Reserve Bank raised interest rates amid rising inflation pressures.

AAP

Mortgage holders brace for hundreds more in repayments

Two incorrect assumptions have set the Reserve Bank on track for a costly U-turn on interest rates, with borrowers facing steeper repayments on their mortgages.

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The Conversation

Australian inflation jumps, adding to chances of an RBA interest rate hike

Inflation has risen further above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2–3% target. There is now a very real prospect the Reserve Bank will feel it needs to increase interest rates at its meeting next week, with an announcement due on Tuesday afternoon.

AAP

All eyes on crucial data ahead of first RBA meeting

Home owners will wait with baited breath for the Reserve Bank of Australia to hand down its cash rate decision after the release of inflation figures.

AAP

Magic number that could decide an interest rate hike

Traders now tip a greater-than-50 per cent chance of an interest rate hike in February, but some pundits are holding out hope for a Reserve Bank reprieve.

AAP

Hot or not? Strong spending complicates rate picture

Upcoming data will give the Reserve Bank a better sense of whether higher interest rates are required to take the heat out of Australia's economy.

The Guardian - AU

How would a Trump takeover of the Fed affect Australia?

Central banks are given independence so they can make unpopular, inflation-beating decisions on interest rates

AAP

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

Two things must occur for the Reserve Bank to be satisfied that current interest rate levels can bring down inflation, board meeting minutes have revealed.

AAP

Plea for spending cuts as banks tip interest rate hikes

Half of Australia's big four banks are tipping the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates at its next meeting as inflation is pushed outside the target zone.

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