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The Latest Breaking News from John Curtice

Scottish Labour and SNP neck and neck as independence support steady in new poll

SUPPORT for Scottish independence has held steady, but the SNP and Scottish Labour are neck and neck, new polling data has found ...

The National (Scotland)

Five things we learned from the YouGov poll showing an increase in support for Yes

A NEW poll released today has shown another increase in support for Scottish independence ...

The National (Scotland)

John Curtice: Greens deal is not to blame for SNP drop in polls

THE SNP’s governing partnership with the Greens is not the reason the party are seeing their popularity drop, a polling expert has insisted.

The National (Scotland)

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John Curtice gives verdict on reason for SNP's slide in political polls

PROFESSOR John Curtice has given his verdict on the reasons behind the SNP's slide in the polls ...

The National (Scotland)

Yessers 'must be bothered to vote' at next election, says outgoing SNP MP

AN outgoing SNP MP has warned Yessers they must be “bothered” to vote next year – so the future UK Government is sent a “strong message”…

The National (Scotland)

Tactical voting in byelections spells bad news for Tories

There is no win for the government in Labour and the Lib Dems losing their deposits or the Greens’ sticky results

The Guardian - UK

Desperate Tories warn Sunak they are headed for disaster after ‘appalling’ by-elections: ‘The party’s over’

Conservatives are ‘going to lose a hell of a lot of seats’, admits one MP – despite Rishi Sunak’s claim that a Labour general election victory is ‘not a done deal’

The Independent UK

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Tory chair leaves BBC studio in stitches with by-election claim

TORY chairman Greg Hands left the BBC’s Chris Mason and political analyst John Curtice in stitches as he claimed his party’s sole victory in…

The National (Scotland)

Analysis: Thumping double blow to the Tories, even if Ulez proved toxic for Labour in Uxbridge

‘Taken in the round, these by-election results do suggest that the Conservatives remain in deep electoral trouble,’ Politics Professor Sir John Curtice

Evening Standard

Tories still in ‘deep electoral trouble’ despite Uxbridge win, says John Curtice

Rishi Sunak’s party has ‘awful long way to go’ to show they can cling onto power, says polling guru

The Independent UK

Friday briefing: An awful byelection night for Sunak – though the Tories avoid a wipeout

In today’s newsletter: a pair of major defeats for the Conservatives, but the PM will be relieved to have at least retained Boris Johnson’s old seat

The Guardian - UK

John Curtice: Depleting vote share shows SNP face General Election battle

DEPLETING support for the SNP in opinion polls is now being reflected in council by-elections, showing the party’s dominance at Westminster is…

The National (Scotland)

Britain has changed hugely since 2016. This is how the Brexit vote would go now

The country’s view of the EU referendum could prove very relevant at the next election. Labour should take heed, says professor of politics John Curtice

The Guardian - UK

Police probe 'has not harmed SNP or independence', says John Curtice

THE ongoing police investigation into the SNP’s finances and a number of high-profile arrests appear to have barely dented support for the party…

The National (Scotland)

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The Independent UK

Labour and Lib Dem cooperation key to defeating Tories at by-elections, top polling guru says

Prof John Curtice says Tory candidates could cling on if parties insist on splitting vote

The National (Scotland)

Labour could face independence referendum choice as election majority 'not certain'

THE prospect of Labour securing an overall majority in the next General Election is “by no means certain”, leading pollster Sir John Curtice…

Evening Standard

Labour party ‘odds-on to form next Government’ as Tories face awkward by-elections

The Labour Party is odds-on to form the next Government, a polling guru said on Thursday.

The Independent UK

Sunak’s small boats drive won’t bring back Tory voters, says John Curtice

Focus on Channel migrants reminds voters of ‘dramatic failure’ of Brexit, says polling guru

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The Guardian - UK

Labour on course for landslide election victory, megapoll suggests

Starmer’s party is 12% ahead of Sunak’s Tories, survey based on new constituency boundaries suggests

The Independent UK

Corbyn wins backing of local Labour Party members in general election headache for Starmer

Mr Corbyn’s statement sets the stage for a showdown between Labour and its former leader in his Islington North constituency next year

Wales Online

Expert forecasts General Election and it's not looking good for Rishi and Tories

But whether or not Labour wins an overall majority is likely to be decided north of the border

The Conversation

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

Nils Bohr, the Nobel prize winning physicist, once said: “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Electoral forecasting, the science of predicting politics, is a case in point. It’s difficult to do and easy to get wrong.

The Independent UK

Labour majority on knife edge as Sunak comes under pressure

Polling expert John Curtice says results in group of key marginals would hand Keir Starmer a slim majority if replicated at election

The Independent UK

Tories demand Rishi Sunak ‘deliver’ on pledges after ‘wake-up call’ local election results

Tories ‘not far off rock bottom’ of John Major’s support in the 1990s after local election losses

The Guardian - UK

The local picture is good for Keir Starmer – the national predictions look even better

Evidence of a tactical pincer movement to defeat the Tories shows how worried they should be about the general election, says former YouGov president Peter Kellner

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