The Latest Breaking News from FiveThirtyEight

As we head into the midterm elections, only 13% of Americans say they are “satisfied with the way things are going in the U.S.,” the second-lowest percentage in the 43 years that Gallup has been asking this question. President Joe Biden’s job approval rating continues to decline and has fallen…

The US Supreme Court’s annual term usually finishes at the end of June, so late June is when the most important decisions are likely to be announced.

The bad news for President Joe Biden is that his popularity has fallen, this past week, into dead last place. Of the 13 presidents during the polling era, none has been in worse shape at this point in his first term, almost 500 days into a presidency, than Biden’s 40.5%…

Which Thunder players would've won WCF MVP if the award existed?

Republican Sen. John Boozman is trying to fend off three challengers in Arkansas' primary who are trying to paint him as not conservative enough

The last relegation spot will be filled by either Leeds United or Burnley heading into final day of the Premier League season

FiveThirtyEight's NBA Finals prediction model might surprise some fans of the Golden State Warriors.

The Whites are the current favourites to join Norwich and Watford in the Championship next season but that could all change after Thursday night

When politicians break the economy, they hurt us in the short term but also create future opportunities to do harm in the name of undoing the damage they inflicted.

Plus: Trusting the science is now an explicitly partisan issue, stocks are still plummeting, and more...

Forecasters FiveThirtyEight give Jesse Marsch's side a 50 per cent chance of staying up this season