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The Latest Breaking News from El Niño

In Brazil’s Cerrado region, Indigenous fire practices reshape wildfire strategy

Brazilian environmental officials have followed a zero-fire strategy for land management in the Cerrado savanna in central and northern Brazil

The Independent UK

Australian snow season begins amid El Niño fears

Webcams showed snow blanketing the ground in some areas. In others, it was patchy or nonexistent

The Guardian - AU

Coming El Niño will be the strongest ever recorded, new forecast predicts

A June update by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts suggests that the coming weather event will be the strongest ever measured.

LiveScience

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Scientists warn Trump plan to axe US ocean monitoring system will leave world ‘flying blind’

Experts say dismantling the ocean observation system will ‘severely degrade’ the accuracy of weather predictions

The Guardian - US

Rate hikes are coming, RBI has sent a clear signal, says Anubhuti Sahay, Standard Chartered

Despite holding the repo rate steady, the Reserve Bank of India's significantly upgraded inflation forecasts signal a strong likelihood of rate hikes from August. Anubhuti Sahay of Standard Chartered highlights that elevated inflation projections, coupled with upside risks from oil prices and El Niño, suggest a deliberate sequencing of policy…

The Economic Times

‘Unpredictable and extreme’: Asia braces for El Niño

Weather models project a potentially strong El Niño this year, which could spell disaster for heatwave-hit India, drench China and hurt agriculture across south-east Asia

The Guardian - AU

‘That’s a bad combination’: why Australia may be in for a slushy snow season

Snow arrives in time for the start of ski season, but climate change and El Niño mean it may not stick around for long, experts say

The Guardian - AU

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El Niño needs monitoring, but India better prepared than earlier: Bayer’s Simon Wiebusch

Farmers are increasingly recognising climate volatility as a long-term reality, driving greater adoption of climate-smart practices, says Simon Wiebusch.

The Economic Times

Southwest monsoon arrives in Kerala, marks start of India's rainy season

The southwest monsoon has arrived in Kerala. This marks the beginning of India's crucial four-month rainy season. However, forecasts indicate below-normal rainfall for the 2026 season. El Niño conditions may also emerge, impacting water supplies and agriculture. This situation raises concerns for crop output and rural demand across the nation.

The Economic Times

Expert warns 2026 El Niño may rival the strongest on record

FRANCE 24's Sharon Gaffney speaks to Paul Roundy, Professor of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences at the State University of New York at Albany, to discuss the upcoming El Niño phenomenon. Citing models, Roundy says that the event “could achieve an amplitude similar to the strongest event known back in the…

France 24

A very strong El Niño may be approaching. Here’s what it could mean for the world’s weather

El Niño is a recurring climate event with impacts across the globe. It has three phases: one cold (known as La Niña), one neutral, and one warm (El Niño).

The Conversation

RBI unlikely to hike rates despite El Niño and fuel price pressures, says Nomura's Aurodeep Nandi

India's central bank is likely to maintain current interest rates. Despite rising fuel costs and potential monsoon issues, a key inflation measure remains low. Experts suggest firms are absorbing price pressures. The Reserve Bank of India will monitor data before considering any policy changes. Geopolitical risks and future cost pass-throughs…

The Economic Times

WMO warns of strong El Niño risk; India braces for weaker monsoon, hotter June

The World Meteorological Organization warns of developing El Niño conditions. This raises the risk of global weather disruptions and extreme climate events. India faces concerns of weaker monsoons and higher temperatures. The agriculture ministry is reviewing preparedness for the upcoming season. Farmers are urged to adopt drought-tolerant crops and improve…

The Economic Times

Afternoon Update: BoM’s El Niño prediction; academic used AI to write op-ed; and gen Z’s fear of being cringe

Australia should prepare for an El Niño, with the BoM and other agencies forecasting that the weather phenomenon is likely to develop in coming months

The Guardian - AU

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The Guardian - AU

El Niño expected to develop in coming months, bringing hotter and drier weather to eastern Australia

BoM and other agencies expect transition to the first El Niño since spring 2023 sometime during winter

The Economic Times

Weather update: Kerala braces for monsoon arrival as IMD issues orange alerts; Delhi-NCR set for rain and thunderstorms

The southwest monsoon is set to arrive in Kerala around June 4, bringing very heavy rainfall and orange alerts for several districts. Meanwhile, Delhi-NCR will experience light rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds through June 5, offering relief from the summer heat. This monsoon season is crucial for India's agriculture and…

The National (Scotland)

El Nino is now 80 likely this summer. Here's what to know

A WARMING “El Nino” global weather event is now 80 likely to happen this summer, the World Meteorological Organisation’s (WMO) scientists…

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Jump on El Niño Risks

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Tuesday closed up +213 (+5.47%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +163 (+5.50%). Cocoa prices surged on Tuesday amid mounting weather concerns. The formation of an El Niño weather pattern could lead to warmer, drier conditions in West Africa,...

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Barchart

Mounting Weather Concerns Boost Cocoa Prices

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is up +216 (+5.55%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is up +166 (+5.60%). Cocoa prices are surging today amid mounting weather concerns. The formation of an El Niño weather pattern could lead to warmer, drier conditions in West Africa, potentially...

Euronews

El Niño: Almost everywhere will face above average summer temperatures, WMO warns

El Niño is a naturally occurring weather phenomenon but its effects are worse because of climate change.

The Guardian - UK

Prepare for imminent return of El Niño, UN warns

UN agency predicts phenomenon that supercharges weather extremes has 80% chance of forming before September

The Economic Times

A ₹3 lakh crore rain check? India’s monsoon now comes with a Hormuz fine print

India’s fertiliser supply chain is under strain as the West Asia conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for imports. The crisis comes just as India faces a below-normal monsoon forecast, with the IMD projecting rainfall at 90% of the long-term average and a 92% probability…

Barchart

Sugar Prices Continue Higher on Fears of a Weak Monsoon in India

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN26 ) is up +0.44 (+3.13%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ26 ) is up +12.20 (+2.78%). Today’s gains added to last Friday’s rally of +0.93% in world sugar and +2.94% in London white sugar. Sugar prices on Monday continued higher amid concerns...

Newslaundry

Interview: What the 2026 El Niño means for India

After a season of intense heatwaves, India will not have a lot of respite this monsoon, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting a ‘below normal’ monsoon season. On Friday, IMD further downgraded its monsoon forecast to 90 percent of the long-period average as against the earlier 92 percent, and…

The Economic Times

El Niño effect: Why India may see weak monsoon and harsher summer

India faces a double blow as the IMD forecasts below-normal monsoon rainfall, with a 60% chance of deficient rains due to El Niño. This, coupled with the West Asia crisis impacting agricultural inputs, threatens the farm sector and the rural economy, potentially leading to broader economic challenges.

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