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The Latest Breaking News from El Niño

A super El Niño threatens disaster. Trump is handling it recklessly

The administration interrupted data streams that are key to forecasting. These systems should not be vulnerable to political whims

The Guardian - US

Goldman Sachs Flags Three Major Threats To Southeast Asia's Food Supply

Food supply pressures in Southeast Asia are drawing renewed attention as higher energy prices linked to the Iran war, rising fertilizer costs and concerns surrounding El Niño add strain to agricultural markets across the region.

International Business Times

‘Compound shock effect’: why the Middle East crisis and El Niño could spell disaster in south-east Asia

Millions of tonnes of the world’s food could be lost amid the uncertainties surrounding the strait of Hormuz and the dangers of a ‘Godzilla-strength’ El Niño

The Guardian - AU

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
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What a strong El Niño could mean for Australian communities, jobs and food prices

Climate models are now confidently projecting the world will experience a very strong El Niño weather event this year. For Australia, this Pacific Ocean phenomenon means we are likely to see hotter and drier conditions for the rest of 2026 and into 2027.

The Conversation

UK to fund AI weather forecasting as ‘super’ El Niño threatens wave of climate shocks

Exclusive: ‘Our new partnership with the Met Office will help countries protect against extreme weather events’

The Independent UK

Rural America's farms are already being crushed by an economic crisis. They now face the risk of a 'mini-Dust Bowl' as a rare Super El Niño looms

AccuWeather warned on Friday that conditions are in place for a multi-year drought that could threaten crop yields and the water supply.

Fortune

El Niño is back with a vengeance – and fears of ‘Godzilla’ strength may be the least of our worries

UN’s World Food Programme and agriculture agency issue joint appeal for funds to avert global hunger crisis before it happens

The Guardian - UK

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Super El Niño poses critical threat to 500 million of the world’s farmers, researchers warn

Exclusive: The weather event could see global agricultural output take a $342 billion hit – as campaigners reiterate warnings that the UK government should do more to bolster up its supply chains

The Independent UK

A stock trader’s guide to navigating rare ‘Super El Niño’

As fears over the Iran conflict ease, investors are turning their attention to climate risk, with a potential “Super El Niño” emerging as a key market variable. From agriculture and energy to insurance and financials, the weather event could reshape sector outlooks, affect inflation trends and influence investment decisions globally.

The Economic Times

'Explosive cocktail': El Niño raises fears of summer wildfires in Portugal

The European Commission has confirmed that El Niño is almost certain this year, which could affect Europe. Speaking to Euronews, climatologist Carlos da Camara warns of a possible heatwave and major wildfires in Portugal.

Euronews

Cocoa Prices Settle Mixed Amid Currency Fluctuations

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Thursday closed down -1 (-0.02%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +35 (+1.11%). Cocoa prices settled mixed on Thursday. NY cocoa was under pressure today from a stronger dollar and rising US inventories. The dollar index ($DXY ) rose...

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Mixed on Currency Fluctuations

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is down -12 (-0.29%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is up +31 (+0.98%). Cocoa prices are mixed today. NY cocoa is under pressure today from a stronger dollar and rising US inventories. The dollar index ($DXY ) rose to a...

Barchart

Extended summer may lift AC sales, but growth likely to fall short of expectations: Praveen Sahay

India's room air conditioner market anticipates a boost from an extended summer and El Niño, though growth is tempered by conservative dealer inventory stocking. While retail demand has been strong, lower primary sales to dealers have capped overall industry expansion, impacting expected growth figures.

The Economic Times

Severe drought, energy shortages and food insecurity: What El Niño could mean for Europe this year

This year’s potentially record-breaking El Niño could impact food systems, energy production, economies, ecosystems and human wellbeing.

Euronews

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The Economic Times

India monsoon starts almost 40% short as El Niño upends weather

India's monsoon has begun with a significant 40% deficit in rainfall, threatening crucial crops like rice and soybeans. The El Niño phenomenon is expected to prolong this dry spell through July and August, impacting agriculture and industrial activities. Authorities have already implemented water restrictions for construction, highlighting the severity of…

Barchart

Cocoa Markets Price in Global Weather Risks

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Wednesday closed up +2 (+0.05%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +5 (+0.16%). Cocoa prices climbed to 3-week highs on Wednesday and settled slightly higher. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was...

Fortune

One of the most powerful El Niños on record cost the world economy $5.7 trillion. The 2026 cycle might be even stronger

El Niño is here. Prepare for higher food prices, throttled trade, and a “systemic shock” to the world economy.

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Erase Early Gains on Dollar Strength

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is down -7 (-0.17%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is down -6 (-0.19%). Cocoa prices gave up an early advance today and turned slightly lower as a stronger dollar sparked long liquidation in cocoa futures. Cocoa prices initially rose today...

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The Conversation

A ‘super’ El Niño has the power to devastate fishing – and leave seals and sea lions starving

There is a more than 60% chance that a “super” El Niño will develop by the end of this year.

The Conversation

The weather bureau has just declared an El Niño. What could this mean for Australia?

After months of anticipation, the Bureau of Meteorology officially declared an El Niño on June 16.

Barchart

El Niño Weather Risks Push Cocoa Prices Sharply Higher

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Tuesday closed up +260 (+6.70%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed up +175 (+5.88%). Cocoa prices rallied to 2.5-week highs on Tuesday and settled sharply higher. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was...

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Soar on El Niño Weather Risks

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is up +261 (+6.72%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is up +169 (+5.68%). Cocoa prices are soaring today and posted 2.5-week highs. Cocoa markets are pricing in weather risks after an El Niño weather pattern was confirmed last week. An...

The Guardian - AU

BoM forecasts strong El Niño and warns climate change could amplify effects on Australia

El Niño events linked with extreme weather around the world – and can increase risk of bushfires in Australia and coral bleaching on Great Barrier Reef

Barchart

Weakness in Crude Oil Weighs on Sugar Prices

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN26 ) on Monday closed down -0.02 (-0.15%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ26 ) closed down -2.20 (-0.49%). Sugar prices were under pressure on Monday, with NY sugar falling to a 1.75-month low and London sugar falling to a 2.5-week low. Monday’s...

The Times of India

Inside Chile's spectacular Atacama super bloom: The desert that blooms once every few years

The Atacama Desert in northern Chile holds the record for being the driest non-polar desert on Earth. Some parts of it go decades without a single drop of rain. It looks, for most of the year, like a place where nothing could survive. And then, every few years, something extraordinary…

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