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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Interest rates have stopped rising, but 2023 hikes could still cause recession for some economies

Central banks on both sides of the Atlantic kept their main interest rates unchanged for the fourth successive month in December 2023. These rates are closely watched because they set the minimum interest at which your bank borrows and lends. This determines the cost of credit for all firms and…

The Conversation

Goldman Sachs’ chief economist says ‘The Great Disinflation’ is under way—and he expects 3 back-to-back interest rate cuts by summer

Goldman’s Jan Hatzius put the odds of a recession at just 15% when much of Wall Street worried about a downturn. Now he’s taking an inflation victory lap.

Fortune

Bank of America warned of a mild recession at the beginning of the year. Now, it says the Fed is close to ‘sticking’ a soft landing

History shows only one successful soft landing in 60 years of rate hikes. This time could be a second.

Fortune

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Germany's Economy Braces for a Potential Recession

Germany's economy set to shrink again in Q4, due to industry and construction weaknesses, high energy rates and an internal budget crisis.

Top News

An austere Christmas is on the cards – but don't say recession

The rapid increase in interest rates over the past year and a half is causing many consumers to feel less than joyous this festive season.

The Conversation

Federal Reserve on cusp of what some thought impossible: Defeating inflation without steep recession

It was the most painful inflation Americans had experienced since 1981, when “The Dukes of Hazzard” and “The Jeffersons” were topping the TV charts

The Independent UK

UK to 'dodge winter recession' as key business survey shows private sector growing

But the continued strength of the economy may encourage the Bank of England to keep interest rates higher for longer

Evening Standard

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Kudlow Predicts Possible Recessionary Economy Next Year

A heated discourse on the current economy under the Biden administration, addressing issues like rising prices, unemployment, and the struggles faced by yo...

Top News

Argentine Economy Plunges into Recession, Analysts Declare

As I waltz my thoughts across the financial dance floor of Argentina, it becomes painstakingly evident that their economy may have been dipping its toes in the murky waters of a recession. Like a Tango, fraught with improvised moves and uncertain steps, the Argentine economy is said to be dancing…

Top News

Federal Reserve Announces Rate Cuts, Economy Heads Positive Direction

Fed plans for a decisive rate hike, aiming to avoid recession. The decision, promising rate cuts, leads Dow to a record high, hinting economic relief.

Top News

Bank of England holds interest rates at 15-year-high as economy flirts with recession

The Bank of England has held interest rates at 5.25 per cent for the third consecutive time

The Independent UK

Markets bet on UK interest rate cuts in 2024 amid recession risk

Bank of England expected to keep rates at 5.25% on Thursday but abandon current strategy next year

The Guardian - UK

The Path Ahead: Unraveling the Dynamics of Emerging Market Currencies in 2024

The decline in the Eurozone area economies, notably Germany, that are in or near entering recession would, alongside high oil prices, suggest Euro weakness going forward.

International Business Times UK

Will a Struggling Bull Market Strengthen in 2024?

The new bull market will need a dovish Fed, easing inflation and a stable bond market to endure, says Charles Schwab's chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders.

Kiplinger

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AAP

New Zealand GDP falls, past recession revealed

New Zealand's economy is again going backwards, falling by 0.3 per cent in the September 2023 quarter.

The Guardian - UK

Signals are flashing red for Rishi Sunak’s economic growth pledge

Bank of England and Niesr have not forecast a recession but October fall in GDP may suggest one is on the way

Evening Standard

FTSE 100 Live: 'Rate cuts could come sooner' as GDP falls by 0.3%, blue-chip shares higher

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee held interest rates as expected today, with members voting 6-3 in favour of another pause.

Evening Standard

Recession fears return as figures show GDP slumped by 0.3% in October

Stormy weather partly to blame for surprise fall in output

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The Guardian - UK

Traders lift bets on UK interest rate cuts in 2024 after economy shrinks in October – as it happened

Rachel Reeves warns that economic growth is going backwards after GDP shrinks by 0.3% in October, prompting City to predict 100bp of rate cuts in 2024

Evening Standard

Andrew Bailey is wrong. The Bank of England must cut interest rates now

City Voices: If the Bank wants to avoid a long and damaging recession then it needs to act fast

Fortune

Economic pessimists’ bet on a 2023 recession failed. Why are they doubling down in 2024?

Despite the economy’s strength, there remains a reluctance to recognize a soft landing.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs’s chief economist says the market may be getting ahead of itself on rate cuts—and decreases won’t come as soon as people hope

"The risk of recession is, in my view, quite low. We're at 15% in the next 12 months."

The Independent UK

Fed is set to leave interest rates unchanged while facing speculation about eventual rate cuts

With inflation edging closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, its policymakers are facing — and in some cases fueling — hopes that they will make a decisive shift in policy and cut interest rates next year, possibly as soon as spring

The Independent UK

A 'soft landing' or a recession? How each one might affect America's households and businesses

The solid hiring revealed in Friday’s jobs report for November, along with a raft of other recent economic data, is boosting hopes that the U.S. economy will achieve a “soft landing” next year rather than a widely feared recession

Fortune

Unemployment rate drops to 3.7%, and experts say it’s another ‘soft landing’ signal that will leave the Fed in limbo

“The recession that seemed so inevitable at the end of 2022 still hasn’t arrived and may not come anytime soon,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of the Independent Advisor Alliance.

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