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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Markets bet on UK interest rate cuts in 2024 amid recession risk

Bank of England expected to keep rates at 5.25% on Thursday but abandon current strategy next year

The Guardian - UK

The Path Ahead: Unraveling the Dynamics of Emerging Market Currencies in 2024

The decline in the Eurozone area economies, notably Germany, that are in or near entering recession would, alongside high oil prices, suggest Euro weakness going forward.

International Business Times UK

Will a Struggling Bull Market Strengthen in 2024?

The new bull market will need a dovish Fed, easing inflation and a stable bond market to endure, says Charles Schwab's chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders.

Kiplinger

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New Zealand GDP falls, past recession revealed

New Zealand's economy is again going backwards, falling by 0.3 per cent in the September 2023 quarter.

AAP

Signals are flashing red for Rishi Sunak’s economic growth pledge

Bank of England and Niesr have not forecast a recession but October fall in GDP may suggest one is on the way

The Guardian - UK

FTSE 100 Live: 'Rate cuts could come sooner' as GDP falls by 0.3%, blue-chip shares higher

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee held interest rates as expected today, with members voting 6-3 in favour of another pause.

Evening Standard

Recession fears return as figures show GDP slumped by 0.3% in October

Stormy weather partly to blame for surprise fall in output

Evening Standard

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Traders lift bets on UK interest rate cuts in 2024 after economy shrinks in October – as it happened

Rachel Reeves warns that economic growth is going backwards after GDP shrinks by 0.3% in October, prompting City to predict 100bp of rate cuts in 2024

The Guardian - UK

Andrew Bailey is wrong. The Bank of England must cut interest rates now

City Voices: If the Bank wants to avoid a long and damaging recession then it needs to act fast

Evening Standard

Economic pessimists’ bet on a 2023 recession failed. Why are they doubling down in 2024?

Despite the economy’s strength, there remains a reluctance to recognize a soft landing.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs’s chief economist says the market may be getting ahead of itself on rate cuts—and decreases won’t come as soon as people hope

"The risk of recession is, in my view, quite low. We're at 15% in the next 12 months."

Fortune

Fed is set to leave interest rates unchanged while facing speculation about eventual rate cuts

With inflation edging closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, its policymakers are facing — and in some cases fueling — hopes that they will make a decisive shift in policy and cut interest rates next year, possibly as soon as spring

The Independent UK

A 'soft landing' or a recession? How each one might affect America's households and businesses

The solid hiring revealed in Friday’s jobs report for November, along with a raft of other recent economic data, is boosting hopes that the U.S. economy will achieve a “soft landing” next year rather than a widely feared recession

The Independent UK

Unemployment rate drops to 3.7%, and experts say it’s another ‘soft landing’ signal that will leave the Fed in limbo

“The recession that seemed so inevitable at the end of 2022 still hasn’t arrived and may not come anytime soon,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of the Independent Advisor Alliance.

Fortune

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Barchart

U.S. Economy Forecast 2024: Will There Be a Recession or a ‘Soft Landing’?

For over a year now, economists have been predicting a recession. Here's the updated 2024 forecast for the U.S. economy, and why a recession does not look likely - at least, not for now.

Kiplinger

Is A Recession Looming? Two Big Bank CEOs See It That Way

Recession is likely, Citi's CEO told a Senate panel today, a sentiment echoed by JP Morgan's chief executive last week.

The Guardian - AU

Ditch the rose-coloured glasses: Australia’s GDP is going backwards

We have now had three consecutive quarters of falling GDP on a per capita basis. That last happened 40 years ago during the 1982-83 recession

StockNews.com

VERY Healthy Stock Rotation Underway

The S&P 500 (SPY) is putting the finishing touches on a strong 2023 campaign. This is the 4th straight year the large cap index has outperformed small and mid caps. Gladly there are signs this is going to change which is a very healthy sign for the longevity of this…

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Fortune

Corporate America's hiring spree is cooling—economists say we should all take that as a good sign

U.S. job openings dropped to a 32-month low in October, but Indeed Hiring Lab’s director of economic research says the “report should bring abundant holiday cheer.”

Kiplinger

The Earnings Recession Is Over

The year-long earnings recession ended in the third quarter, but analysts are increasingly concerned about Q4.

The Independent UK

Economists predict US inflation will keep cooling and the economy can avoid a recession

A survey shows most business economists think the U.S. economy could avoid a recession next year, even if the job market ends up weakening under pressure brought by high interest rates

International Business Times UK

Central Banks Risk Tipping UK and Other Developed Countries Into Recession

The report highlights the risk of a vicious cycle, where low interest rates fail to stimulate meaningful economic growth and cause a recession.

The Guardian - UK

Central banks ‘risk tipping UK and other developed countries into recession’

Stance on inflation poses threat to ‘soft landing’ forecast for global economy, says OECD

The Independent UK

Sweden's economy shrinks in the third quarter to signal that a recession may have hit the country

Sweden’s economy shrank in the third quarter of 2023 to mark the second time of contraction and signal that a recession may have hit the country

StockNews.com

Upside Potential for This Bull Market?

The S&P 500 (SPY) is flirting with new highs once again. Thus a good time to ponder the upside potential for stocks into year end and then what is likely on tap in 2024. That is exactly what investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares in the commentary below including a preview…

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