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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Phillip Inman

UK economic growth to rebound in late 2024, leading forecaster says

Planes taxiing
Increased demand for flights and holidays, a bounceback in the property market and rising disposable incomes are giving business a confidence boost, according to the EY Item Club. Photograph: Andy Rain/EPA

The UK economy will benefit from falling inflation and lower interest rates in the second half of the year, boosting growth and allowing the government to offer pre-election giveaways, according to a study by a leading forecaster.

Handing Rishi Sunak a new year boost, the advisory business EY Item Club, which is sponsored by the accountancy firm EY, said its winter forecast showed that a long period of economic stagnation “should begin to fade this year as falling inflation, potential interest rate cuts and tax reductions create momentum for growth in 2024 and 2025”.

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