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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Middle East conflict fuels UK services sector slowdown and recession fears

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Top economist Mark Zandi says the indicator that has called every recession since WWII just signaled we're already in one

The Vicious Cycle Index is a recession indicator that takes labor force participation changes into consideration. The top economist at Moody’s Analytics said it’s flashing red.

Fortune

The ‘McValue’ Menu Is Getting Bigger. Does That Make McDonald’s a Top Recession-Proof Stock to Buy Now?

As recession fears rise and consumers tighten budgets, can McDonald’s expanding value menu make MCD a go-to stock to buy for defensive investors?

Barchart

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

‘Skunk at the party’: Jamie Dimon warns of recession risks amid ongoing wars—but also stagflation

The JPMorgan Chase CEO laid out the possibility of recessionary, and even stagflationary, forces stemming from ongoing wars.

Fortune

Losing a catastrophic war is no way for America to celebrate its 250th birthday

THE INDEPENDENT VIEW: Editorial: To avert global recession, US allies are being forced to humiliate themselves and clean up after Donald Trump in the Middle East. Never has an American president wreaked such havoc on erstwhile friends

The Independent UK

Bulletin world briefing: Fuel rationing and global recession could be ‘months away’

Here are five of the biggest stories from around the world today

The Independent UK

How the world is just ‘months away’ from fuel rationing and a recession

IN FULL

The Independent UK

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Trump’s war with Iran could see fuel rationing and global recession within months, experts warn

Prolonged disruption would slow world GDP growth to 1.4 percent in 2026, Oxford Economics warns

The Independent UK

Australia faces 'sharp recession' if US escalates war

As Donald Trump fails to reassure traders about the Strait of Hormuz, analysts warn Australia's economy is hurtling towards a recession the longer it is closed.

AAP

What is Benjamin Netanyahu’s end game in the Iran war?

The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran is now into its second month. Despite spectacular early successes, the resilience of Iran’s government and military has meant the US and Israel have lost the strategic initiative. This means they are being more reactive than proactive in determining the outcome…

The Conversation

As Recession Odds Climb, Defensive Sectors Continue to Outperform

As uncertainty continues to dampen consumer confidence, investors are pivoting from growth to consumer staples. The VDC offers a low-beta, dividend-rich hedge.

MarketBeat

JP Morgan-Chase CEO Jamie Dimon unexpectedly comes out in favor of Iran war despite recession fears: ‘It was overdue’

The Wall Street leader said he was unsure whether the war would prompt a recession but argued the Iranian government has long-posed a genuine threat

The Independent UK

A Wall Street vet’s Walmart recession indicator just hit its highest point since 2008—and he says the fear ‘just keeps multiplying’

Jim Paulsen’s “Walmart Recession Signal” has tracked closely with downturns in real GDP growth and unemployment spikes.

Fortune

Bond yields are falling even as oil tops $102, showing that Wall Street fears recession more than inflation

“The risks to economic growth begin to take precedence over the risks to inflation,” Oxford Economics said in a note on Monday.

Fortune

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International Business Times UK

2026 Recession Warning: 3 Smart Moves to Protect Your Retirement Income Now

Protect your savings amid economists' warnings of a 40% recession risk in 2026. Learn how to build a cash buffer, diversify income, and adjust your withdrawal strategy.

AAP

Top forecaster's dire prediction if Iran war drags on

Australia could enter a recession, with the Reserve Bank raising interest rates a further three times, economists warn as fears of a protracted conflict mount.

Kiplinger

Financial Flashback: How Smart Planners Weathered the 2008 Recession

While past performance is not indicative of future results, history can help inform successful strategies for weathering uncertain times. A Multi-Year Guarantee Annuity stands out as a source of financial confidence because it provides a guaranteed interest rate with no market exposure. If you're near retirement age or currently retired,…

The Independent UK

In The Room | Stockpiling fuel and panic buying loo roll – are we prepped for war?

As the war in the Middle East continues, there are fears there could be a global recession over oil prices.

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GOBankingRates

I Asked ChatGPT Which Investments Won’t Survive the Next Recession: Here’s What It Said

ChatGPT evaluated market risk and highlighted investments most vulnerable in a recession, revealing where investors could face losses when the economy turns.

inkl

6 Smart Money Moves If a Recession Looms

A troubling 42% of people feel stressed about their finances, and headlines are trying to scare you into making a move every day. When the word "recession" starts echoing through the news cycle, the natural human instinct is to duck and cover. However, a downturn doesn't have to mean a…

The Times of India

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warns oil could hit $150 amid Iran‑US war, causing 'global recession'

Larry Fink, BlackRock’s CEO, warns that Iran’s ongoing threats could push oil to $150 a barrel, risking a deep global recession. Even post-ceasefire, regional instability around the Strait of Hormuz may keep prices elevated for years. He stresses the regressive impact on consumers and urges accelerated investment in alternative energy…

Fortune

Mark Zandi warns recession odds are creeping toward 50%, and the Iran war could launch us into economic turmoil by midyear

As oil steadily climbs above $100 per barrel and Iran rejects a U.S. peace proposal, Moody’s chief economist says recession odds are only getting worse.

The Independent UK

Blackrock boss warns of ‘stark global recession’ if oil prices hit $150 due to Iran war

Larry Fink warns those on lower incomes will be harder hit than the wealthy if energy prices continue to soar

Fortune

Larry Fink says the Iran war ends in one of two extremes: Abundance, growth, and oil at $40 a barrel, or a global recession and years of oil at $150

“I could paint a scenario where I could see, a year from now, oil at $40 a barrel; I could see it above $150—we have two very extreme outcomes,” Fink told the BBC this morning.

The Independent UK

Soaring oil prices spark fear of global recession

Fears of a global recession have emerged due to soaring prices, exacerbated by the conflict in the Middle East. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, has predicted a global recession if oil prices reach $150 a barrel, citing "profound implications" should Iran remain a threat. UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves warned that…

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