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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Gold and Bitcoin go through the roof as U.S. shutdown forces investors to trade in the dark

There is a 67% chance that the U.S. federal government shutdown will last longer than 10 days, according to bettors on Polymarket—and for stock traders that will feel like an eternity.

Fortune

Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Futures Gain As Government Enters 2nd Week Of Shutdown—Plug, Lithium Americas, UiPath In Focus (UPDATED)

Editor’s Note: The future prices of benchmark tracking ETFs were updated in the story.

Benzinga

Government Shutdown Could Drag On Until October 15: Polymarket Bets On 70% Chance Of Reopening Beyond Half A Month

The ongoing government shutdown, which commenced at the start of the month, is now predicted by Polymarket to extend well into October, with a significant 70% probability of lasting until Oct.15th or even later.

Benzinga

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Solana Ready For $320–$360 After Bullish Retest, Says Popular Crypto Analyst, But Polymarket Punters Bet SOL Is Going To This Level Instead

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) rallied sharply alongside the broader market on Wednesday, but cryptocurrency bettors are not going overboard with lofty expectations for the year.

Benzinga

Trump Warns Of 'Irreversible' Consequences As Shutdown Chances Reach 85% On Polymarket

President Donald Trump on Tuesday signaled a shutdown was "probably likely" as prediction market traders price an 86% of a U.S. government shutdown before midnight.

Benzinga

Investors are betting big on 'prediction markets' Kalshi and Polymarket—will the gamble pay off?

The two startups generated huge buzz by accurately predicting the 2024 election results. Their young founders still face long odds.

Fortune

Trump To Huddle With Members Of Congress Even As Polymarket, Kalshi Bettors Put Government Shutdown Odds At 60%

Prediction markets indicated a strong possibility that the federal government would be shut down this week as President Donald Trump prepares to meet key members of Congress on Monday.

Benzinga

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XRP Punters Still Eye $4 Despite Recent Slump — Here's How Prediction Markets Are Betting

XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) may have stagnated over the month, but cryptocurrency bettors haven’t completely discounted the possibility of fresh all-time highs by year-end.

Benzinga

Mike Novogratz Ties Bitcoin's Fate To Trump's Fed Chair Pick — Here's Who Polymarket Bettors See Making The Cut

Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ:GLXY) CEO Mike Novogratz said in an interview aired Tuesday that the political landscape could influence the cryptocurrency cycle, depending on President Donald Trump’s choice for the next Federal Reserve Chair.

Benzinga

Two Polymarket Traders Bet $3 Million On Different Fed Rate Cuts As Bitcoin Hopes For Bullish FOMC Meeting

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is hovering around $116,000 ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision as traders on Polymarket are heavily betting on both a 25 basis points and a 50 basis points cut.

Benzinga

Trump Could Declare Housing Emergency In 2025? Polymarket Bettors Are Giving It A 34% Chance As Mortgage Distress Mounts

Bettors on Polymarket assigned a 34% likelihood of the Trump administration announcing a housing emergency this year.

Benzinga

Bitcoin Braces For Fed Decision As Polymarket Traders Bet On A 0.25% Cut

Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) path forward hinges on the Federal Reserve's Sep. 17 decision, with markets pricing around 30 basis points of easing.

Benzinga

Trump To Speak With 'Good Friend' Modi Soon, Says Trade Talks Ongoing With India — Polymarket Traders Boost Odds of Deal

Cryptocurrency bettors substantially raised the odds that the U.S. and India would reach a tariff agreement in September, after President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed optimism about trade negotiations on Tuesday.

Benzinga

Ex-SEC Official Slams Bill Ackman's 'Very Illegal' Proposal Urging NYC Mayor Adams To Bet On Cuomo's Polymarket Election Odds

Former SEC chief of staff Amanda Fischer on Sunday blasted billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman's suggestion to NYC Mayor Eric Adams on a Polymarket betting deal, calling it "very illegal."

Benzinga

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Benzinga

MrBeast To Run For President? $1.2 Million Polymarket Bet Could Be Dead Money

The United States is currently led by its first president to have no military or political experience with Donald Trump serving his second term. Could history repeat itself with a content creator who lacks the same experiences running for president in the 2028 election?

Benzinga

Saquon Barkley's Winning Investments Include Bitcoin, Polymarket, Anduril & Neuralink: Why NFL Star Has Turned To Equity

NFL star Saquon Barkley won a Super Bowl and the Offensive MVP award last season, which came after making a move from the New York Giants to Philadelphia Eagles. Along with success on the field, Barkley is winning off the field with his investment strategy.

Benzinga

Polymarket CEO Says Crypto-Based Prediction Platform Ready To Enter US After CFTC Approval: 'Stay Tuned'

Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, said Wednesday that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has approved the platform’s operation in the U.S.

Benzinga

US Eyes Blockchain GDP Data, Peter Thiel-Backed Exchange Shuns London, Trump Family Token Emerges, Solana Rally Looms — This Week In Crypto

The weekend was a whirlwind of activity in the cryptocurrency world. From predictions of Solana’s potential surge to the historic move of publishing US GDP data on blockchain, the crypto market was abuzz with news.

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Benzinga

Polymarket's New Rival? Coinbase-Backed Startup Bags $15 Million In Seed Funding For Blockchain-Based Prediction Platform

A former Polymarket executive disclosed on Wednesday a $15 million seed funding round for a new venture named The Clearing Company, which aims to compete in the prediction market space.

Benzinga

Nayib Bukele's 'Funniest Things' Remark Leaves Crypto Community Buzzing, El Salvador On Its Way To Reaching $1 Billion Bitcoin Reserves?

El Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele hinted at boosting the country’s Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) holdings to $1 billion on Wednesday, causing a spike in odds on prediction markets.

Benzinga

Taylor Swift And Travis Kelce Are Engaged—And Polymarket Trader 'Romanticpaul' Predicted It

A Polymarket trader using the handle "romanticpaul" earned more than $3,000 in profits after correctly wagering on Taylor Swift's engagement to NFL star Travis Kelce just hours before the couple confirmed the news.

Benzinga

Nvidia Q2 Set To Spark Frenzy—Crypto Bettors Predict These 5 Red-Hot Issues Will Dominate Earnings Call

Technology titan Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to release its second-quarter financials on Wednesday, and cryptocurrency bettors on Polymarket are speculating on a variety of topics that could be mentioned during the earnings call.

Benzinga

Elon Musk's Alleged Baby Mama Says She Started A Podcast After 'Many Questionable Life Choices' — Adding 'Also, I'm Getting Evicted'

Ashley St. Clair didn't launch her podcast "Bad Advice" because she had a PR team or a five-year plan. She did it, in her own words, after "many questionable life choices," a "career suicide" she swears was unplanned, and—oh yeah—because she's getting evicted.

Benzinga

Donald Trump Jr. Reportedly Investing Eight Figures In Polymarket

Donald Trump Jr.'s venture capital fund, 1789 Capital, has made a multi-million-dollar investment in Polymarket, the blockchain-based prediction platform recently valued at more than $1 billion.

Fortune

Are sports prediction markets betting or investing? Two new Robinhood lawsuits could define how they are regulated going forward

Robinhood is suing both New Jersey and Nevada to argue that its users should have access to sports contracts.

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