One Polymarket user made more than $400,000 in profits betting on Maduro’s capture on an investment made within 24 hours of the military action

Nicolas Maduro, dressed in military uniform, speaks behind a microphone with both hands raised. (Credit: Jesus Vargas—Getty Images)

The arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has made someone hundreds of thousands of dollars richer.

Last week, one Polymarket account invested over $30,000 on Maduro’s exit by Jan. 31, 2026. When U.S. forces seized the Venezuelan leader and his wife from their home on Saturday, the user netted $436,759.61, translating to a profit of more than $400,000. The account was created less than a week before Maduro’s capture and only made bets associated with Maduro’s exit and the U.S. going to war with Venezuela, including within a day of his arrest.