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The Latest Breaking News from Murray Goot

One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?

Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predict

The Guardian - AU

The polls were off in Australia’s election – but it’s the uniformity that has experts really asking questions

While there is growing transparency in the industry, issues such as sample sourcing, response rates and weighting still present challenges

The Guardian - AU

This is what happens when an uncosted Coalition thought-bubble on nuclear power is presented as a concrete proposal

Anyone reading the Australian’s Newspoll survey might think there was an actual proposal in place to build small modular nuclear reactors around Australia – except there isn’t

The Guardian - AU

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When it comes to Indigenous affairs, Australian voters' opinions are complicated

The academic study of public opinion is a well-developed area. One foundational finding is that while the views of voters often seem contradictory and incoherent, these apparent inconsistencies have a pattern.

The Conversation

Heavy on the rhetoric, light on facts: campaign against net zero fields familiar tropes

Claiming ‘woke hysteria’ is driving policy, lobby group Advance Australia makes a series of claims by the usual suspects that are easily debunked

The Guardian - AU

How much can polling really tell us about support for the voice to parliament?

Polls show declining support for referendum but variations in methods make it difficult to pinpoint by how much

The Guardian - AU

Australia’s resources minister heaps warm praise on gas as industry PR spree masks doubts about future

Madeleine King says gas can help decarbonise the economy but not even big users of the fossil fuel are convinced

The Guardian - AU

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Pollsters breathe sigh of relief after accurately predicting Labor’s election victory

Major polling companies changed methods after 2019 failure but two-party preferred measure misses Greens and independents

The Guardian - AU

Will Australia’s opinion polls be more accurate in 2022 than at the last election?

Polling companies have introduced new techniques since they failed to predict Scott Morrison’s 2019 election win. Now they anxiously wait to see if they have worked

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