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The Latest Breaking News from Mark Zandi

Debt limit action needed by mid-August, analysts warn - Roll Call

Economists at Moody’s Analytics estimate that the Treasury Department will run out of borrowing room by mid-August if Congress doesn’t act.

Roll Call

Wait, layoffs and job growth? What's going on with the economy and is recession still coming?

WASHINGTON — Only a few months ago many economists warned that a recession was not just inevitable, it was around the corner. Inflation would take years to curb. Surging unemployment was on its way.

Los Angeles Times

As property prices retreat, top economist isn’t expecting recession

The U.S. economy is likely to avoid a recession, even with a downturn in housing and commercial real estate, economist Mark Zandi predicts.

Tribune News Service

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State of the Union: Biden sees economic glow, GOP sees gloom

Going into Tuesday’s State of the Union address, President Joe Biden sees a nation with a glowing economic future

The Independent UK

The U.S. economy ended 2022 on a high note. This year is looking different

The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.9% in the final three months of last year — a surprisingly strong finish. But growth is expected to slow in 2023, and possibly even reverse.

WEKU

The Week Ahead: Waiting for the recession during the economic recovery

The end of last year was supposed to be an economic dud. It wasn’t. Instead, the American economy likely continued its rebound.

Miami Herald

Moody’s vs. Zillow: Each firm’s 2023 home price outlook for over 300 regional housing markets

Economists are divided as to whether the housing correction is simply a minor setback for home price growth or the early innings of a sharper correction.

Fortune

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Is the housing market recession nearing a trough? Experts detect a little rise in activity

The seasonally adjusted Mortgage Purchase Application Index just rose 24.7%.

Fortune

The free-fall in housing market activity just concluded, says Capital Economics

U.S. home prices will continue to fall in 2023 even as home sales bottom out, says Capital Economics.

Fortune

A 1981-level mortgage rate shock has the housing market in a correction—these 7 leading research firms predict what's next for rates

There are only three levers that can depressurize affordability: Rising incomes, falling home prices, and falling mortgage rates.

Fortune

America might just do the impossible and avoid a recession, according to top economist Mark Zandi

Moody’s chief economist says a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy is in the cards. But BlackRock’s Rick Rieder warns, “Policymakers’ ability to stick this landing for the economy and markets is still very much up in the air.”

Fortune

Warren Buffett’s Favorite Housing Metric Just Flashed A Major Signal: What To Watch In The Housing Market

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett explained the metrics he watches for a reversal in the housing market.

Zenger

Prepare for a 'slowcession' in 2023, says one of the first economists to predict the 2008 financial crash

The year ahead will no doubt be tough for the U.S. economy, but the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics wants us to be a little more optimistic.

Fortune

Interactive map: The home price correction (or lack of correction) in America's 400 largest housing markets

Mark Zandi: The free-fall in home sales will soon bottom out, while the home price correction carries on.

Fortune

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Fortune

We're in the second biggest home price correction of the post-WWII era—here's the latest data

The Fed’s “difficult [housing] correction” has seen the U.S. housing market flip from inflation mode to deflation mode.

The Independent UK

High inflation and efforts to tame it defined 2022 economy

At times, 2022 felt like the 1970s or early ’80s

Fortune

These 49 housing markets to see home prices fall over 15%—this interactive map shows Moody’s updated forecast for 322 markets

"Affordability will be restored. The [housing] market won't be overvalued after this process is over," says Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi.

Fortune

The Pandemic Housing Bust rocks bubbly markets like Phoenix

Some markets have gone straight from Pandemic Housing Boom to Pandemic Housing Bust.

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Fortune

The U.S. housing market to see second biggest correction of the post-WWII era—when to expect the home price bottom

In the third quarter of 2022, falling home prices erased a record $1.3 trillion in home equity. It isn't over yet.

WEKU

New GDP report shows an economic turnaround, but don't be fooled

Thursday's GDP report shows the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.6% in July, August and September, after shrinking in the first half of the year.

WEKU

There's a massive housing shortage across the U.S. Here's how bad it is where you live

Hundreds of cities and towns are seriously short of housing, both homes to buy and rentals, according to a new study. It's the main reason that home prices and rents are so high.

Tribune News Service

Rents in US rise at fastest pace since 1986, buoying inflation

Rents rose in the U.S. last month at the fastest pace since 1986, helping to propel overall inflation to a fresh four-decade high.

Al Jazeera

Five things to know about the next US housing crisis

High home prices, scarcity and global uncertainty may be the perfect recipe for a US housing crisis, economists say.

WEKU

No retreat in the summer heat. Inflation blistering at 9.1% in June

Inflation hit a new, four-decade high of 9.1% last month, fueled in part by record high gasoline prices. Gas prices have since fallen, but overall inflation is still elevated.

The Independent UK

With US dollar nearly equal to euro, impact is being felt

The U.S. dollar has been surging so much that it’s nearly equal in value to the euro for the first time in 20 years

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