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The Latest Breaking News from Mark Haefele

Oil Is Still Above $100 And Treasury Yields Have Surged. Investors Still Aren't Giving Up On Stocks.

Strong earnings expectations and continued spending on artificial intelligence are helping keep investors committed to equities despite a more difficult market backdrop.

International Business Times

FTSE 100 held back by hefty Rightmove and IAG falls

FTSE 100 held back by hefty Rightmove and IAG falls

The FTSE 100 index closed down 53.21 points, or 0.6%, at 9,682.57.

Evening Standard

Everything’s supposedly rosy on Wall Street—but gold is quietly rallying higher as investors seek safety in government shutdown

Everything’s supposedly rosy on Wall Street—but gold is quietly rallying higher as investors seek safety in government shutdown

Gold is nearing $3,870 as investors flock to safe-haven assets despite Wall Street optimism, Fed rate cut bets, and recession fears fading.

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‘Dust off your rate-cutting playbook,’ J.P. Morgan tells clients—the evidence for a Fed cut just keeps piling up

With U.S. jobless claims surging and labor data revised sharply lower, markets see Jerome Powell locked into a September Fed rate cut despite sticky inflation.

Powell didn’t just refuse to deliver a rate cut—he also hinted a raise might have been on the cards

Powell put a cat among the pigeons by suggesting he was minded to "look through" tariff-induced inflation by not increasing interest rates.

America is starting to eat Trump’s tariff TACO salad, UBS says

“It’s quiet ... a little too quiet,” writes Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of UBS Global Wealth Management.

Wall Street’s massive swings signal investors are now ‘too optimistic’ about Trump’s tariff agenda, warns UBS

“These retreats are so frequent that investors should rationally expect them. So why do markets still react to the initial announcements?” UBS’s Paul Donovan asked.

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Jamie Dimon says it would be a 'mistake' to think deescalation from Trump's White House means volatility is over

Jamie Dimon says it would be a 'mistake' to think deescalation from Trump's White House means volatility is over

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon remains bullish on America despite concerns that volatility may continue.

Don't be fooled by deescalation, says UBS, Trump's 'surgical increases' on specific sectors are yet to come

Don't be fooled by deescalation, says UBS, Trump's 'surgical increases' on specific sectors are yet to come

UBS's chief investment officer, Mark Haefele, wrote the White House may still make some cutting moves.

Trump’s tariffs likely to shift—but not before more pain, UBS says

Trump’s tariffs likely to shift—but not before more pain, UBS says

UBS said that in the coming quarters, tariffs are expected to be notched down for some nations and inched higher for others.

US Stock Futures Dip As Dollar Slides And Treasuries Rise After S&P Hits 54th All-Time High This Year: Analyst Sees 'Further Upside' Of Around 10% In 2025 From Current Levels

US Stock Futures Dip As Dollar Slides And Treasuries Rise After S&P Hits 54th All-Time High This Year: Analyst Sees 'Further Upside' Of Around 10% In 2025 From Current Levels

U.S. stock futures were in negative territory during Tuesday’s premarket hours as the dollar slipped to 106.3 level.

UBS Forecasts S&P 500 To Hit 6,600 In 2025, Citing Support From 'Over-Easy Global Central Bank Policy'

UBS Forecasts S&P 500 To Hit 6,600 In 2025, Citing Support From 'Over-Easy Global Central Bank Policy'

Unrelated to past cycles, global central banks are easing monetary policy despite strong economic growth, high asset prices, and elevated inflation, highlights Bob Elliott, the chief investment officer at Unlimited Funds. Elliott also presents the underlying data in a thread on X (formerly Twitter) that reiterates these conditions.

3 Quality Stocks to Protect Against the Stagflation Scenario 'Nobody's Really Prepared For'

3 Quality Stocks to Protect Against the Stagflation Scenario 'Nobody's Really Prepared For'

These fundamentally sound mid-cap tech stocks can protect your portfolio in an uncertain scenario, according to the latest analysis from UBS.

Tech stocks surge as wave of interest in AI drives $4tn rally

Tech stocks surge as wave of interest in AI drives $4tn rally

Shares in some firms involved in AI technology more than double in value as traders bet on massive growth in industry

The Guardian - UK

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SVB's collapse could lead to 'contagion' among regional banks—but experts say it's not a systemic risk to the entire financial system

“We do not believe there is contagion risk for the rest of the banking sector on the heels of SVB's struggles,” David Trainer, CEO of the investment research firm New Constructs, told Fortune.

Forget Big Tech—Emerging market stocks will be the leaders of the next decade as India takes China's thunder, Morgan Stanley IM says

China is “at the eye of a de-globalization storm,” JPMorgan’s emerging markets specialist Jitania Kandhari said Tuesday—and India may be the biggest beneficiary. “Everything that is not working for China is working for India.”

The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge just came in lower than expected—here's what that could mean for your stock portfolio

Is a ‘goldilocks’ inflation report enough to end the bear market? Experts weigh in.

Legendary investor Mark Mobius says China’s stock market will pay the price for COVID protests

Mark Mobius says China's COVID-zero policies are here to stay, despite the protests. That could mean a 10% drop in China's markets.

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