
Headline U.S. inflation jumped to 2.7% in June, its steepest rise in five months, according to the latest consumer price data. UBS Global Wealth Management took a look under the hood, writing in its monthly letter that “it’s quiet … a little too quiet.”
Chief investment officer Mark Haefele appealed to the cinephiles in his audience: “Movie fans will know that feeling of tension when the hero steps into supposedly dangerous new territory only to find nothing there.” The TACO traders are waiting for the next shoe to drop, tariffs are at their highest since the 1930s, and the Federal Reserve’s independence is threatened, he writes. Yet global stocks are at record highs, rate volatility is down, and credit spreads are tightening.