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The Latest Breaking News from Inside Elections

Rating changes: 11 House races move toward Democrats

ANALYSIS — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s…

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At the Races: Eyes on the ball and the ballot

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. By Mary Ellen McIntire and Daniela Altimari Call it a sports week. New Yorkers are ecstatic after the Knicks went…

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At the Races: Tricks of the trade

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. By Daniela Altimari and Mary Ellen McIntire Democrats are sounding the alarm on mystery super PACs with ties to Republicans that…

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The 10 most vulnerable House members, less than 6 months from Election Day

When Texas Republicans redrew the state’s congressional map last summer to give their party additional pickup opportunities, it set off a back-and-forth with both parties revisiting district lines in several states. The battle turbocharged last month, when the Supreme Court invalidated Louisiana’s map and significantly limited the use of race…

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Matchups for 4 battleground House races are set in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Democrats on Tuesday picked their nominees for a handful of House races that could help determine control of the chamber this fall. Bob Brooks, a union leader and retired firefighter, won the Democratic primary to challenge freshman Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania’s 7th District in what was the…

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Tennessee Rep. Steve Cohen announces retirement after GOP dismantles his district

Democratic Rep. Steve Cohen announced Friday that he wouldn’t seek reelection this year after Tennessee Republicans redrew the state’s House map, splitting his Memphis-based district between three deep-red seats. Cohen, who had been facing a primary challenge from state Rep. Justin Pearson before the passage of the new lines, said…

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Denise Powell leads in Democratic primary for crucial Nebraska ‘blue dot’ seat

Political activist Denise Powell clung to a narrow lead in Tuesday’s Democratic primary for Nebraska’s open 2nd District after a contentious campaign that brought an influx of outside money and a blitz of increasingly negative attack ads to one of the nation’s most competitive House battlegrounds. With more than 51,000…

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Tennessee passes new map that erases state’s lone majority-Black district

Tennessee state legislators on Thursday passed a congressional map that dismantles the state’s lone majority-Black district and gives Republicans the advantage in all nine of the state’s House seats. The move comes a little over a week after the Supreme Court limited the use of race in drawing congressional districts,…

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Ohio’s Kaptur set for rematch with Merrin in bid for 23rd House term

Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in congressional history, will face a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin in a battleground northwest Ohio seat that grew a shade redder in redistricting. Merrin emerged as the victor in Tuesday’s five-way GOP primary in the 9th District. The former state representative had…

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Republican hopefuls in swing seats aren’t walking away from Trump

Voters in Nebraska’s open 2nd District have twice rejected Donald Trump, but the presumptive Republican nominee for the seat is “humbled” to have the president’s backing. Trump has been “doing great things,’’ said Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member seeking to succeed retiring GOP Rep. Don Bacon. “We’ve got…

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At the Races: Ethically challenged

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. It was less than a week ago that Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell was a front-runner to be the next governor…

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Democratic candidates start 2026 with a fundraising bang

Money continued to flow as the midterm election year kicked off. Fundraising reports covering the first three months of the year show that it was a fruitful first quarter for many congressional candidates, with a handful of Senate hopefuls reporting eight-figure hauls and some House candidates surpassing the $2 million…

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Can Senate Republicans buck midterm history again?

ANALYSIS — Eight years ago, President Donald Trump’s mediocre job approval rating created a difficult national political environment for Republicans, who lost more than 40 seats in the House. But GOP senators bucked the midterm backlash and gained two seats. Could they do it again? The April 20, 2018, edition…

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At the Races: Belaboring the point

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. Affordability has become a top buzzword for Democrats this midterm election cycle, a shorthanded way to signify voters’ rising discontent…

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Ratings changes: 9 House races move toward Democrats

ANALYSIS — Three months after Inside Elections shifted a dozen House race ratings toward Democrats, nine more are moving the same way as Republicans look to defend their narrow House majority. The national atmosphere remains tough for the GOP. Historical midterm trends, President Donald Trump’s negative job approval rating and…

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Texas Democrats bullish about winning back Latino voters - Roll Call

Texas Republicans' redraw of the congressional map is running headlong into a Latino electorate disgruntled with Trump and the economy.

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At the Races: Fuel to the fire

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. Gas prices rose this week, throwing more fuel on the growing affordability battles ahead of the midterms. Democrats called for…

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Rating change: Montana Senate moves out of Solid

ANALYSIS — Democrats have a difficult and narrow road to the Senate majority, but Republicans apparently want to make it a bit easier. While Oklahoma Sen. Markwayne Mullin’s expected departure to join President Donald Trump’s Cabinet doesn’t alter the Senate battleground, Montana Sen. Steve Daines’ last-minute drop changes the landscape.…

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At the Races: Make Tuesday nights political again

Catch up on the political news of the past week in the latest At the Races newsletter, including State of the Union fallout and Texas primaries closing in.

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Democrats see opportunity in Ohio beyond battleground House seats

In their quest to flip the House in the midterm elections, Democrats are eyeing a handful of Ohio seats the party hasn't held in decades.

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Candidates from the clergy see role for religion in Democratic Party - Roll Call

As Democrats look beyond 2024’s losses, candidates from clergy backgrounds see a bigger role for religion in an increasingly secular party.

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Indiana Senate rejects new congressional map in blow to Trump

Republicans in the Indiana Senate rebuked President Trump by rejecting a new congressional map that would have targeted two Democratic seats.

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These are the key Texas races for Congress in 2026 - Roll Call

Here’s how races in Texas are shaping up following Monday’s filing deadline for candidates for office in next year’s midterm elections.

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DCCC adds more House seats to its 2026 target list - Roll Call

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is expanding its group of targeted seats for the 2026 midterm elections.

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Good news for House Democrats in latest round of race rating changes - Roll Call

The latest race rating changes by Inside Elections mean good news for House Democrats, with 16 contests moving their way.

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