The Latest Breaking News from Inside Elections

Democratic former Rep. Wiley Nickel on Wednesday launched his campaign to unseat Republican Sen. Thom Tillis in North Carolina.

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. The deaths of two House Democrats early in the 119th Congress, combined with the Senate holding out on confirming…

ANALYSIS — Even though the midterms are 20 months away, it’s not too early to project that the headliner of the 2026 elections will be the fight for the House majority. Republicans’ three-seat Senate majority and a dearth of competitive races puts next year’s battle for the Senate on a…

Add Minnesota Rep. Angie Craig to the list of Democrats considering bids to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith in Minnesota next year. 

Catch up on the political news of the past week in the latest At the Races newsletter, including budget resolutions and retirements.

Just five Senate seats are rated as competitive by Inside Elections, representing perhaps the smallest initial battleground in history.

It might be the end of personal political brands in congressional races, which could hurt Democratic chances of flipping the Senate in 2026.

Kamala Harris underperformed the typical Democratic candidate in states across the country, according to the Vote Above Replacement metric.

Republicans still have a clear advantage in the Senate, but the fight for the House looks as close as the neck-and-neck presidential race.

Our list is based on interviews with party and super PAC officials, fundraising data and polling, both public and internal.

Roll Call's final Most Vulnerable Incumbents House list is here, and Republicans make up seven and Democrats three.