Choosing One Nation: disillusioned or just fed up? One Nation's rising popularity or declining support for the major parties? Residents in an ultra-marginal seat are calling for change. AAP · Oct 24
DemosAU MRP poll has Labor winning clear majority of House seats on just 27% of primary vote A federal DemosAU MRP poll gave Labor a clear majority of House of Representatives seats on just 27% of the primary vote, with One Nation slumping from 60 seats in the May to July MRP poll to 24 in this one. The Conversation · Oct 14
Albanese’s ratings slump in Redbridge poll after interest rate hike In a federal Redbridge poll, the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition has been steady since late August at 50%, but Anthony Albanese’s net favourability slumped ten points to a record low -27, possibly reflecting the Reserve Bank’s interest rate hike last Tuesday. The Conversation · Oct 4
Victorian DemosAU poll has Coalition’s two-party lead narrowing, but they remain ahead Two months before the Victorian election, a DemosAU poll has Labor narrowing the Coalition’s two-party lead to 52–48 from 55–45 in August. The Conversation · Sep 29
Labor and Albanese slump to new lows in Newspoll, but Labor improves in a DemosAU poll Labor’s primary vote in Newspoll was down two points to 27%, their worst Newspoll since 2012 and just one point above their record low. Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped six points to a new low of -27. The Conversation · Sep 21
One Nation surges in two polls taken after Secret Harbour byelection The federal YouGov and Morgan polls are the first that were entirely taken after One Nation thumped Labor at the August 29 Western Australian state Secret Harbour byelection. The Conversation · Sep 9
Volatile electorate delivers mixed results for all parties in latest polls In the two latest new federal polls, Morgan was good for Labor but Essential was bad. There were four federal polls taken last week, largely before the Western Australian Secret Harbour byelection. The Conversation · Sep 3
One Nation thumps Labor to gain WA state seat of Secret Harbour at byelection With nearly all votes counted in Saturday’s Western Australian state byelection for Secret Harbour, the ABC’s results give One Nation 39.1% of the primary vote (up a huge 30.6% since the March 2025 state election), Labor 24.4% (down 22.1%), the Liberals 17.3% (down 7.1%), the Greens 7.5% (down 1.3%), Legalise… The Conversation · Aug 29
Mixed results for One Nation and the Coalition in latest federal polls There have been mixed messages emerging from the three federal polls released this week. In the DemosAU poll, the Coalition was up four points on the primary vote to 25% and One Nation was down five points to 24%. The Conversation · Aug 26
Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins It’s about three months until the Victorian state election on November 28. Five polls have been released since Ben Carroll replaced Jacinta Allan as Labor leader and premier on July 28. These polls have the Coalition leading Labor after preferences by between 51–49 (Morgan SMS) and 57–43 (Redbridge). The Conversation · Aug 21
Resolve poll suggests more voters support Labor’s federal budget changes than oppose them The three new federal polls have the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 46% in YouGov (down one), 48% in Morgan (up 0.5) and 49% in Resolve (steady). The Resolve poll gives Labor encouragement by suggesting their May budget changes are becoming more popular. The Conversation · Aug 16
Cathy Freeman leads trio of women at top of list of Australia’s most admired sportspeople Cathy Freeman, Ash Barty and Sam Kerr have been identified as the sporting figures admired most by Australians according to a new poll The Guardian - AU · Aug 5
The One Nation scare Labor used while rolling a premier Labor leaders have pointed to a potential minority government involving a right-wing populist party to justify swapping premiers four months from polling day. AAP · Jul 31
Special DemosAU poll has Labor well short of a parliamentary majority A special DemosAU poll has Labor winning 68 of the 150 House of Representatives seats, well short of the 76 needed for a majority. One Nation is on 60 seats, the Coalition 13, the Greens three and Others six. The Conversation · Jul 27
The Conversation · Jul 13 Mixed bag for One Nation in latest polls as voters show wariness around some policies The three new federal polls show mixed results – but some good news – for One Nation following a polling slump in response to Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address. This is particularly marked in Morgan, where One Nation gained 5.5 points to 28% after dropping nine points…
The Guardian - AU · Jul 12 One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government? Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predict
The Conversation · Jun 28 Two new polls show drop in support for One Nation and the Coalition In two new polls taken in the week after Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address, support for One Nation and the Coalition combined is down three points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 47% in Redbridge.
The Conversation · Jun 23 One Nation’s surge continues in polls as Andy Burnham set to become next UK PM In two federal polls that were partly taken after Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address, One Nation’s surge continued, gaining two points on primary votes in both the DemosAU and Morgan polls, to reach 30% and 31.5% respectively.
The Conversation · Jun 16 Latest polls still have One Nation leading on primary votes, but not gaining Since the May 12 federal budget, every poll has had One Nation gaining when measured against the last issue of that poll. While they’re still leading on primary votes in the YouGov and Morgan polls, One Nation was down one point in YouGov and steady in Morgan.
The Conversation · Jun 15 Two polls have Labor third on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election With the Victorian state election in late November, two polls have Labor sinking to third on primary votes, behind One Nation and the Coalition. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s net approval is below -35 in both polls.
The Conversation · Jun 8 One Nation takes primary vote lead in Newspoll as Albanese’s ratings slump to record low Newspoll corroborates two polls I reported last week that had One Nation first on primary votes, although only by one point in Newspoll instead of three points in the YouGov and Redbridge polls.
The Conversation · May 27 Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain A special Redbridge poll that was mostly taken before the federal budget had Labor winning 76 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (a majority of one), with One Nation on 53 and the Coalition 12.
AAP · May 22 FED:One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.
AAP · May 22 One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.
The Conversation · Apr 19 One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead Has One Nation reached its polling peak? That’s the intriguing question from the latest batch of polls.