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The Latest Breaking News from Chatham House

Israel Assuming 'Worst-case Scenario' With Syria Bombing: Analysts

Israel's bombing of Syrian military assets and its entry into the UN-patrolled buffer zone on the Golan Heights show it fears the worst from the end of the Assad clan's rule, analysts told AFP. "The Israeli government... is operating on a worst-case scenario with little to no nuance," said Yossi…

International Business Times

The ceasefire in Lebanon doesn’t ensure a lasting victory for Israel, but does signal a strategic setback for Iran

Hezbollah is still armed and has the potential to attack Israel. But more significantly it has in effect abandoned Hamas, says Bilal Saab of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

What could a second Trump presidency mean for foreign affairs?

Mr Trump has vowed to end wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.

The Independent UK

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What does Trump 2.0 mean for US foreign policy?

Experts say Trump is likely to harden approach to Ukraine and China, and infuse more unpredictability in Middle East.

Al Jazeera

China building ‘counter-stealth’ radar on disputed South China Sea reef, satellite pictures suggest

Upgraded Triton Island outpost in the Paracel archipelago expands China’s surveillance capabilities in the region

The Guardian - UK

Hezbollah stands at a crossroads – its next steps will determine Lebanon’s fate

Like Netanyahu, the militant group has chosen to ignore basic truths, and prioritised its own aims over the nation it claims to defend, says Bilal Saab of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

US is senior partner in relationship but Israel driving conversation, analyst says

Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is thought to be weighing up a range of options, following his pledge to come down hard on Iran. FRANCE 24's Sharon Gaffney speaks to Bilal Y. Saab, Head of the US-Middle East practice and an associate fellow at Chatham House. He says that the…

France 24

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Why are Storm Shadow missiles a new flashpoint between Putin and the West?

Could lifting of restrictions on use of long-range missiles spell escalation of hostilities between Russia and the West?

Al Jazeera

Many fear Israel and Hezbollah are heading for all-out war – but here’s why that’s far from inevitable

Despite escalations, a full-blown conflict would be bad for both. But all this brinkmanship is diverting attention from Palestine, says Lina Khatib of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

The Kursk attack has humiliated Putin – and changed the narrative over how the war is fought

This is the first time Russian territory has been occupied since the second world war. It disproves the notion Kyiv should cede territory to achieve peace, says Orysia Lutsevych of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Ukraine’s surprise cross-border incursion seen as a tactical reply to Russia's grinding gains

Russia’s army has in recent months made an unrelenting effort to punch through Ukrainian defenses at selected points along the front line in eastern Ukraine

The Independent UK

Gaza, Ukraine and China: How Biden can still move the dial on foreign policy

US President Joe Biden’s decision to drop out of the presidential race gives him nearly six months left in office with an array of foreign policy challenges on the table. How will Biden continue to shape Washington’s stance towards Ukraine, China and the Israel-Hamas war? FRANCE 24 speaks with Dr…

France 24

As Ukraine war rages, Russia activates sabotage plans in Europe: Experts

Russia is accused of putting into effect psychological, economic and military operations planned by the USSR.

Al Jazeera

'Countries recognising Palestine must tell Israel how this will make it more secure'

The announcement by Ireland, Spain and Norway of the recognition of a Palestinian state is perceived as a major blow in Israel. Nomi Bar-Yaacov, an associate fellow of the International Security Programme at Chatham House and international negotiator, tells FRANCE 24's Mark Owen that the key missing element from the…

France 24

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The Guardian - UK

Ebrahim Raisi was no moderate, but his death may mean Iran becomes even more hardline

Who will be the next supreme leader isn’t clear. But the regime is unlikely to extend its hand to anyone but ultra-loyalists, says Lina Khatib of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Putin’s war machine reshuffle reveals his deepest fear – the rise of Kremlin rivals

By removing Sergei Shoigu and promoting key allies, Russia’s leader is shoring up the war machine he needs to justify his survival, says Samantha de Bendern of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

UK firms may be barred from funding emerging tech in hostile countries

Minister says move being considered over concerns UK money could finance projects that undermine national security

Evening Standard

Nato would crush weak Russia and Putin knows it, says UK defence chief

Admiral Sir Tony Radakin downplays fears of wider conflict in Chatham House speech

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The Guardian - UK

Huge cybersecurity leak lifts lid on world of China’s hackers for hire

Leaked files shows range of services offered and bought, with data harvested from targets worldwide

The Hindu

New Pakistan Government will wait for India’s reaction before restarting talks: Maleeha Lodhi at Chatham House discussion

Pakistan's next government will wait for India's seriousness in engagement before restarting dialogue, says diplomat Maleeha Lodhi.

The Guardian - UK

Ukrainian error or a deadly Russian trap? The Belgorod crash is yet another front in Putin’s war on truth

Only an independent investigation can establish the cause of the crash, says Samantha de Bendern, an associate fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Thursday briefing: What Imran Khan’s 14-year prison sentence means for Pakistan

In today’s newsletter: The cricket star turned politician has been convicted of corruption and banned from office – but is that the end of his story?

The Guardian - UK

Yemeni government urges UK to back Gaza ceasefire

Foreign minister of UN-recognised government takes same position as Houthis on call to British minister

Radio France Internationale

Conflict, climate cast shadow over Davos economic summit

The annual meeting of global leaders gets underway in the Swiss ski-resort of Davos on Monday, with the world economy facing a year of dampened growth prospects and uncertainty stemming from geopolitical unrest, tight financing conditions and the disruptive impact of artificial intelligence.

France 24

World leaders to discuss conflict, climate and AI at annual Davos gathering

The Earth is heating up, as is conflict in the Middle East. The world economy and Ukraine's defense against Russia are sputtering along. Artificial intelligence could upend all our lives. The to-do list of global priorities has grown for this year’s edition of the World Economic Forum’s gabfest of business,…

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