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The Latest Breaking News from Chatham House

Did ‘Vatican diplomacy’ change Trump’s mind on Ukraine? I’m sceptical for three reasons

Zelenskyy, Starmer, Macron … they all had his ear at Pope Francis’s funeral. But he is just as easily swayed by the elevator doorman, says Orysia Lutsevych, head of the Ukraine forum at Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

China trade war poses threat to US arms firms’ rare earths supply, analysts warn

Chinese restrictions could affect more than a dozen defence and aerospace firms and give Beijing ‘crucial advantage’

The Guardian - UK

Iraqi Markets A Haven For Pedlars Escaping Iran's Economic Woes

Every Friday, Alawi crosses the border from Iran into Iraq to sell his produce in the markets of Basra, which serve as a haven for Iranians grappling with economic sanctions.

International Business Times

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With Tariff War, Trump Also Reshapes How US Treats Allies

Japan and Taiwan promised billions in investment. Trump acknowledged the investment in his remarks but said that Taiwan "took all of our computer chips and semiconductors" and announced 32 percent tariffs on its exports.

International Business Times

Israel has chosen military occupation over a ceasefire in Gaza. Where does this end?

The latest escalation and attempts to dismantle the Palestinian leadership are utterly at odds with peace negotiations, says Chatham House research fellow Sanam Vakil

The Guardian - UK

‘Down to the wire’: inside the UK’s crunch talks with the US as it bids to avoid Trump tariffs

Ministers seek carve-out from import taxes before 2 April deadline – but critics believe they may have offered too many concessions

The Guardian - UK

Pro-Palestine protesters disrupt Labour minister with call for Israel arms ban

Pro-Palestinian demonstrators calling for an end to F35 exports to Israel disrupted a talk by Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds on Thursday ...

The National (Scotland)

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Pro-Palestine protesters disrupt Reynolds speech with call for F35 export ban

The UK has suspended some arms exports to Israel over human rights concerns.

Evening Standard

We can’t know if Vladimir Putin will accept a ceasefire in Ukraine. But this is what he’ll be thinking

Key factors will drive the Kremlin’s decision. Can Russia fight on and for what? Or is there more benefit in allying with Donald Trump, asks Orysia Lutsevych of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

Stimulate debate on contentious topics, expert urges English universities

Government’s lead on academic freedom cautions of significant danger to integrity if expression is restricted

The Guardian - UK

Military must modernise to ‘earn’ post-war prosperity once again, says minister

The armed forces minister said increasing defence spending to 2.5% was the start of a much bigger process of building a modern military.

Evening Standard

New Zealand’s high commissioner to the UK loses job after Trump comments

Phil Goff questioned Donald Trump’s grasp of history at a Chatham House event in London, prompting the foreign minister to say his position is ‘untenable’

The Guardian - AU

Europe is running out of hope Trump is still open to persuasion over Ukraine

Where the US president sees a convivial leader an ocean away, Europeans see a tyrant on its borders breaking all agreements

The Guardian - UK

Trump’s Ukraine policy shift: How are European leaders planning to respond?

European leaders are scrambling for responses after Trump reached out to Putin to end the war in Ukraine.

Al Jazeera

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Evening Standard

UK should be cautious after change in US policy over Ukraine, think tank says

US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth said European nations need to spend 5% of GDP on defence and would be responsible for peacekeeping in Ukraine.

The Guardian - UK

Why Trump’s change of heart on TikTok? This is about self-interest, not security

The man who once declared TikTok a ‘national emergency’ has detected a very different mood among young Americans, says Emily Taylor of the International Security Programme, Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

‘A watershed moment’: how will Labour play Trump 2.0?

Starmer open to second state visit for Donald Trump, amid worries about tariffs and recent setbacks to political relationship

The Independent UK

UK should sign climate change co-operation agreement with China, says think tank

Chatham House said a formal deal would enable ‘bolder and more confident engagement’ by the UK in China ‘and vice versa’.

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Al Jazeera

Russia intensifies assaults on Ukraine ahead of Trump’s inauguration

Putin’s army is stepping up attacks in an apparent bid to strengthen Trump’s argument for cutting aid to Kyiv.

The Independent UK

What does fall of Assad in Syria mean for the Middle East and the West?

How will the fall of the Assad regime reshape geopolitical dynamics worldwide?

International Business Times

Israel Assuming 'Worst-case Scenario' With Syria Bombing: Analysts

Israel's bombing of Syrian military assets and its entry into the UN-patrolled buffer zone on the Golan Heights show it fears the worst from the end of the Assad clan's rule, analysts told AFP. "The Israeli government... is operating on a worst-case scenario with little to no nuance," said Yossi…

The Guardian - UK

The ceasefire in Lebanon doesn’t ensure a lasting victory for Israel, but does signal a strategic setback for Iran

Hezbollah is still armed and has the potential to attack Israel. But more significantly it has in effect abandoned Hamas, says Bilal Saab of Chatham House

The Independent UK

What could a second Trump presidency mean for foreign affairs?

Mr Trump has vowed to end wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Al Jazeera

What does Trump 2.0 mean for US foreign policy?

Experts say Trump is likely to harden approach to Ukraine and China, and infuse more unpredictability in Middle East.

The Guardian - UK

China building ‘counter-stealth’ radar on disputed South China Sea reef, satellite pictures suggest

Upgraded Triton Island outpost in the Paracel archipelago expands China’s surveillance capabilities in the region

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