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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Lina Khatib

Many fear Israel and Hezbollah are heading for all-out war – but here’s why that’s far from inevitable

A view of a landscape with several buildings in the foreground, an expanse of fields and a large cloud of grey smoke in the distance.
Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli airstrike on Zibqin, southern Lebanon, on 25 August 2024. Photograph: Kawnat Haju/AFP/Getty Images

Every conflict that generates public attention triggers speculation about what might happen next. Some offer doom scenarios; others use scaremongering as a diplomatic tactic in the hope that presenting policymakers in the international community with worst-case scenarios will spur those leaders into action.

After the latest escalation between Hezbollah and Israel, there is a tendency to assume that such a war is imminent. Resist that argument: escalation does not automatically mean all-out war is inevitable.

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