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Fortune
Fortune
Eleanor Pringle

Wall Street braces for Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline—it foresees 18% EU import duties and a 43% chance of a U.S. recession

President Donald Trump (Credit: Isaac Wasserman/NCAA Photos - Getty Images)
  • Analysts are closely watching April 2 for potential new U.S. tariff announcements, as President Trump has already imposed and threatened further tariffs on key trading partners, including the EU, Canada, Mexico, and China. Market concerns about a possible recession are rising, with Deutsche Bank reporting a 43% average expectation of a downturn, while opinions within Trump's cabinet remain divided on the economic impact of his trade policies.

Analysts have a date metaphorically circled in the calendar a little over a week from now: April 2, the day further tariff pledges are expected to be confirmed, and potentially the moment when a universal tariff is announced.

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