Despite a dire poll result, Labor isn’t panicking – it’s all still to play for in 2025

Labor and Anthony Albanese have slid from their honeymoon heights to a losable but not necessarily losing position, despite a new poll predicting a dire election result. Photograph: Richard Wainwright/EPA

A new poll that landed on Sunday evening would – if reproduced on election day – spell grave danger for Labor.

At the 2022 election, Labor managed to scrape into majority with a 32.6% primary vote, which translated to a healthier 52.1% in two-party preferred terms. Now, a new Resolve poll has found Labor on a primary vote of 27%, a three-point slide from their last survey, with the Coalition sitting pretty on 38%.