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The Latest Breaking News from Warwick McKibbin

Donald Trump trashed global economic orthodoxy. A year on, did he leave Australia a winner or loser?

While tariffs have been ‘all show and no substance’, economists fear an AI investment bubble and tensions in the South China Sea, along with Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve’s independence

The Guardian - AU

Zachary Rolfe accuses NT coroner of going ‘far beyond her remit’ in Kumanjayi Walker inquest – as it happened

This blog is now closed

The Guardian - AU

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Warwick McKibbin on trying to model economic certainty in uncertain times

Global markets have remained on edge after Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs caused panic worldwide. Now, more than ever, markets and economists are looking for trying to read the implications.

The Conversation

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Australia is on an economic rollercoaster thanks to Donald Trump. What happens from here?

I’ve seen my fair share of wild rides on the stock market. Nothing comes close to what we are witnessing today

The Guardian - AU

RBA expected to give mortgage holders ‘breathing capacity’ on interest rates

But business shouldn’t hold its breath for any immediate effect interest rate cuts might have on spending habits – which can take up to nine months

The Guardian - AU

Economists less confident of RBA rate cut than market

An AAP survey of 32 leading Australian economists has tipped the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates this week, but more than one in five remain unconvinced.

AAP

Top economists give budget modest rating and doubt inflation will fall as planned

Asked to grade Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ third budget on his own criteria of delivering on “inflation in the near term and then growth in the medium term”, most of the 49 leading economists surveyed by the Economic Society of Australia and The Conversation have failed to give it top marks.

The Conversation

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Is the 2024 budget inflationary? Warwick McKibbin and other economists say ‘yes’

Former RBA board member among experts who say Albanese government’s third budget is likely to at least delay next interest rate cut

The Guardian - AU

RBA leaves official interest rate on hold fuelling hopes mortgage repayment pain has peaked

Reserve Bank leaves cash rate at 4.35% at its first board meeting of 2024 in a move that was widely anticipated by economists as inflation eases

The Guardian - AU

RBA rate rises are like the Matildas’ fortunes – improving but with further challenges ahead

It is not just what Australia brings to the field that will determine whether more interest rate pain will be needed

The Guardian - AU

Michele Bullock spells continuity at RBA – but respite unlikely for borrowers

The new chief was one of the board members raising interest rates, but has been brought in to reform the central bank

The Guardian - AU

Michele Bullock: what you need to know about the RBA’s new governor

The Reserve Bank ‘lifer’ will succeed Philip Lowe in the top job. Who is Michele Bullock and what has been the reaction to her appointment?

The Guardian - AU

RBA should pause rate rises as ‘deflationary shock’ sweeps global economy, former board member says

Warwick McKibbin says Australia’s central bank has been slow to react as supply pressures from Covid and war in Ukraine abate

The Guardian - AU

RBA review has ‘opened the door’ to moving away from inflation focus, panellist says

Renee Fry-McKibbin says panel considered ‘a lot of alternative frameworks’ but decision on shift would fall to future reviews

The Guardian - AU

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The Canberra Times

RBA probe seeks transparency reforms

A review in the RBA will seek to look at the board governance and current policy settings.

The Guardian - AU

Interest rates: RBA weighs up risk of ‘climb shock’ ahead of decision

Economists split on how much Reserve Bank will lift cash rate on Tuesday as it looks to rein in inflation

The Conversation

Open letter: the RBA review needs to be completely independent of government

This is the text of an open letter from 12 leading economists, sent on Sunday:

The Guardian - AU

Reserve bank keeps interest rates on hold and ends stimulus as Australian economy recovers

RBA says it will stop buying government bonds from 10 February but stresses that does not imply a near-term rate rise

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