Why has the Iran war sparked fears of stagflation for the global economy? Conflict in the Middle East risks knocking growth worldwide and boosting prices, economists warn, amid global market turbulence The Guardian - AU · Mar 9
Economists less confident of RBA rate cut than market An AAP survey of 32 leading Australian economists has tipped the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates this week, but more than one in five remain unconvinced. AAP · Feb 15, 2025
Rate cut delay bolsters case for experts on RBA board The RBA's gradualist approach to tackling inflation has left it lagging the world on rate cuts and should make it reconsider its strategy, economists say. AAP · Sep 20, 2024
To hike or to hold? The case for each as RBA weighs interest rate decision Inflation has been stubborn but the Reserve Bank has much to consider for its cash rate announcement at 2.30pm on Tuesday The Guardian - AU · Aug 5, 2024
Hints on state of economy as cost relief kicks in Business sector data will offer insights on the health of Australia's economy in the weeks since tax breaks and other cost-of-living support came into effect. AAP · Jul 21, 2024
Stagflation: is Australia heading back to the 1970s? Our economics and business writers go head to head The economy has stalled and inflation remains high. Should we be worried? Guardian Australia’s experts have very different views The Guardian - AU · Jun 7, 2024
Those calling for higher interest rates in Australia should be careful of what they wish for We need to avoid replicating the experience of the 1990s, when taming inflation involved destroying the economy The Guardian - AU · May 8, 2024
Inflation in Australia is still stubbornly high. Will the RBA raise interest rates again? With hopes for a rate cut gone, there is speculation of another rise before the end of 2024. What factors will sway the Reserve Bank’s decision? The Guardian - AU · Apr 30, 2024
Treasury estimated stage-three tax cut changes would add 0.1 percentage point to inflation RBA hasn’t modelled whether Albanese government’s redistribution of tax cuts could add to inflation, but isn’t expected to adjust its forecasts The Guardian - AU · Jan 25, 2024
Australia’s economy 2023 report: how it started v how it’s going Stronger than expected population growth made inflation hardier than most experts predicted and property prices defied successive rate rises The Guardian - AU · Dec 9, 2023
Bracket creep is cooling Australia’s economy – it’s good news for interest rates but not for household budgets The weak economy probably means the next RBA rates move – short of an inflation surprise next month – will be a cut The Guardian - AU · Dec 6, 2023
Grim end to year predicted for Labor with high chance of at least two more interest rate rises Strong quarterly inflation figures sends market scrambling as odds on for interest rate hike at Reserve Bank’s Melbourne Cup Day meeting The Guardian - AU · Oct 25, 2023
Rates to lift if inflation outlook in jeopardy: RBA The Reserve Bank "won't hesitate" to raise interest rates further if inflation forecasts come in higher than expected, the central bank's governor says. AAP · Oct 24, 2023
Interest rates could rise again ‘should inflation prove more persistent than expected’, RBA suggests The Reserve Bank of Australia weighed up the option of lifting rates earlier this month but determined ‘there had not been sufficient new information’ The Guardian - AU · Oct 17, 2023
The Guardian - AU · Jul 14, 2023 Michele Bullock: what you need to know about the RBA’s new governor The Reserve Bank ‘lifer’ will succeed Philip Lowe in the top job. Who is Michele Bullock and what has been the reaction to her appointment?
The Guardian - AU · Jul 11, 2023 Who is in the race if Jim Chalmers decides to replace Philip Lowe as RBA governor? From Canberra insiders to an outsider described as ‘borderline brilliant’, here are the runners and riders for the Reserve Bank’s top job
The Guardian - AU · Jul 4, 2023 Enjoy it while you can: July’s RBA rate pause is likely to be fleeting, unless a lot goes right Inflation remains too high globally – and Australia’s may still be ‘out of whack’ by the time the board next meets in August
The Guardian - AU · Jun 5, 2023 Economists split over prospects of another rate rise ahead of RBA meeting Despite 11 hikes in the cash rate since last May, some forecasters think the central bank could still raise borrowing costs again
AAP · May 23, 2023 Consumer confidence edges up but low mood prevails Consumers are feeling a touch more optimistic about their personal finances, with the jobless rate low and pay packets rising.
The New Daily · May 10, 2023 Chalmers defends budget’s ‘meaningful’ help amid split on interest rate risks Treasurer Jim Chalmers has defended his second budget as offering "meaningful relief to households" – while not contributing to inflation.
The Guardian - AU · May 10, 2023 Economists say federal budget unlikely to have much effect on interest rates While the 2023 budget is unlikely to budge the RBA, experts are watching for inflationary pressure from a population boom and energy prices
The Guardian - AU · May 2, 2023 RBA surprise interest rate hike catches out seasoned pundits and borrowers alike For many of the Reserve Bank’s first 10 increases, the question was the size of the hike – not whether one was coming
The Guardian - AU · May 1, 2023 Analysts predict RBA will leave cash rate at 3.6% for second consecutive month But CBA, the nation’s largest mortgage lender, thinks a rise to 3.85% is likely before cuts start in November
The Guardian - AU · Apr 3, 2023 Hold or hike? Economists divided on whether RBA will raise interest rates for 11th consecutive time Mixed data and international developments leave monetary experts unclear on Reserve Bank’s cash rate decision for April
AAP · Mar 23, 2023 Regulator backs local banks to ride out global storm Financial regulators confirm the resilience of Australia's banking system following rigorous oversight during the past fortnight.