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The Latest Breaking News from Warren Hogan

Why has the Iran war sparked fears of stagflation for the global economy?

With oil prices soaring and stock markets falling, economists warn that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East risks knocking growth worldwide and boosting prices

The Guardian - AU

Economists less confident of RBA rate cut than market

An AAP survey of 32 leading Australian economists has tipped the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates this week, but more than one in five remain unconvinced.

AAP

Rate cut delay bolsters case for experts on RBA board

The RBA's gradualist approach to tackling inflation has left it lagging the world on rate cuts and should make it reconsider its strategy, economists say.

AAP

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To hike or to hold? The case for each as RBA weighs interest rate decision

Inflation has been stubborn but the Reserve Bank has much to consider for its cash rate announcement at 2.30pm on Tuesday

The Guardian - AU

Hints on state of economy as cost relief kicks in

Business sector data will offer insights on the health of Australia's economy in the weeks since tax breaks and other cost-of-living support came into effect.

AAP

Stagflation: is Australia heading back to the 1970s? Our economics and business writers go head to head

The economy has stalled and inflation remains high. Should we be worried? Guardian Australia’s experts have very different views

The Guardian - AU

Those calling for higher interest rates in Australia should be careful of what they wish for

We need to avoid replicating the experience of the 1990s, when taming inflation involved destroying the economy

The Guardian - AU

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Inflation in Australia is still stubbornly high. Will the RBA raise interest rates again?

With hopes for a rate cut gone, there is speculation of another rise before the end of 2024. What factors will sway the Reserve Bank’s decision?

The Guardian - AU

Treasury estimated stage-three tax cut changes would add 0.1 percentage point to inflation

RBA hasn’t modelled whether Albanese government’s redistribution of tax cuts could add to inflation, but isn’t expected to adjust its forecasts

The Guardian - AU

Australia’s economy 2023 report: how it started v how it’s going

Stronger than expected population growth made inflation hardier than most experts predicted and property prices defied successive rate rises

The Guardian - AU

Bracket creep is cooling Australia’s economy – it’s good news for interest rates but not for household budgets

The weak economy probably means the next RBA rates move – short of an inflation surprise next month – will be a cut

The Guardian - AU

Grim end to year predicted for Labor with high chance of at least two more interest rate rises

Strong quarterly inflation figures sends market scrambling as odds on for interest rate hike at Reserve Bank’s Melbourne Cup Day meeting

The Guardian - AU

Rates to lift if inflation outlook in jeopardy: RBA

The Reserve Bank "won't hesitate" to raise interest rates further if inflation forecasts come in higher than expected, the central bank's governor says.

AAP

Interest rates could rise again ‘should inflation prove more persistent than expected’, RBA suggests

The Reserve Bank of Australia weighed up the option of lifting rates earlier this month but determined ‘there had not been sufficient new information’

The Guardian - AU

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The Guardian - AU

Michele Bullock: what you need to know about the RBA’s new governor

The Reserve Bank ‘lifer’ will succeed Philip Lowe in the top job. Who is Michele Bullock and what has been the reaction to her appointment?

The Guardian - AU

Who is in the race if Jim Chalmers decides to replace Philip Lowe as RBA governor?

From Canberra insiders to an outsider described as ‘borderline brilliant’, here are the runners and riders for the Reserve Bank’s top job

The Guardian - AU

Enjoy it while you can: July’s RBA rate pause is likely to be fleeting, unless a lot goes right

Inflation remains too high globally – and Australia’s may still be ‘out of whack’ by the time the board next meets in August

The Guardian - AU

Economists split over prospects of another rate rise ahead of RBA meeting

Despite 11 hikes in the cash rate since last May, some forecasters think the central bank could still raise borrowing costs again

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AAP

Consumer confidence edges up but low mood prevails

Consumers are feeling a touch more optimistic about their personal finances, with the jobless rate low and pay packets rising.

The New Daily

Chalmers defends budget’s ‘meaningful’ help amid split on interest rate risks

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has defended his second budget as offering "meaningful relief to households" – while not contributing to inflation.

The Guardian - AU

Economists say federal budget unlikely to have much effect on interest rates

While the 2023 budget is unlikely to budge the RBA, experts are watching for inflationary pressure from a population boom and energy prices

The Guardian - AU

RBA surprise interest rate hike catches out seasoned pundits and borrowers alike

For many of the Reserve Bank’s first 10 increases, the question was the size of the hike – not whether one was coming

The Guardian - AU

Analysts predict RBA will leave cash rate at 3.6% for second consecutive month

But CBA, the nation’s largest mortgage lender, thinks a rise to 3.85% is likely before cuts start in November

The Guardian - AU

Hold or hike? Economists divided on whether RBA will raise interest rates for 11th consecutive time

Mixed data and international developments leave monetary experts unclear on Reserve Bank’s cash rate decision for April

AAP

Regulator backs local banks to ride out global storm

Financial regulators confirm the resilience of Australia's banking system following rigorous oversight during the past fortnight.

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