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The Latest Breaking News from the Reserve Bank

RBA's inflation forecasts edge higher as risks abound

Inflation is still expected to return to the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band by the end of 2025 but is proving to be more persistent than expected.

AAP

The Reserve Bank’s 13th interest rate rise is tightening the squeeze. But a pre-Christmas shock looks unlikely

RBA governor Michele Bullock’s debut rate rise as governor looks unlikely to be repeated next month

The Guardian - AU

Afternoon Update: interest rates hit 12-year high; pro-Palestine protest at Melbourne Cup; and 18th-century love letters

Reserve Bank lifts cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%

The Guardian - AU

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Morning Mail: Albanese hails China visit, borrowers brace for rate hike, Trump on the stand

The prime minister says meeting Xi Jinping will ‘take forward’ relations with Beijing; RBA tipped to pile agony on financially stretched households

The Guardian - AU

If interest rates rise again, it may be because inflation fears lost their anchor to reality

The issue of ‘consumer expectations’ of inflation is hotly debated by economists, and might be a key factor in the Reserve Bank’s decision

The Guardian - AU

An RBA rate rise next week is now an even-money bet – and figures reveal just how damaging it would be

A rise would only add to the cost of necessities without reducing inflation, hitting households already struggling with a 70% increase in mortgage costs

The Guardian - AU

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Economist Chris Richardson on a likely interest rate rise and the fall in living standards

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released a report this week calling on Australia to raise interest rates again, adding to the speculation the Reserve Bank will increase the cash rate on Tuesday.

The Conversation

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Afternoon Update: more interest rate rises likely; Victorian prison officers put spit hood on child; and WeWork to file for bankruptcy

The Reserve Bank looks increasingly likely to lift the cash rate as the IMF found inflation remained ‘sticky’

The Guardian - AU

Petrol goes up, petrol goes down… should interest rates follow?

The latest excuse for an interest rise is petrol price rises back in September… which have been followed by petrol price declines in October.

Crikey

Think the RBA will lift rates on Melbourne Cup day? Don't bet your house on it

Each of Australia’s big four banks is now predicting a rate rise in six days’ time on Melbourne Cup Tuesday. It would add another A$77 to the monthly cost of servicing a $500,000 mortgage and be enough to take the total extra monthly impost since rates began climbing to more…

The Conversation

Morning Mail: voters lose urgency on climate fight, Stan Grant tackles voice failure, Netanyahu rejects ceasefire

Our latest Essential poll shows only one in three believe target can be met, while the Indigenous academic issues broadside over no vote

The Guardian - AU

A Melbourne Cup Day rate rise would not be tough on inflation, it would just be cruel

Australians are already getting hit by higher costs for necessities, reducing their ability to save and spend money on non-essential goods and services

The Guardian - AU

Petrol is holding up inflation – the 7 graphs that show what's happening to prices and what it will mean for interest rates

Today’s figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show inflation fell in the September quarter for the third consecutive quarter.

The Conversation

Australia’s inflation rate rose 1.2% in September quarter boosted by higher fuel prices

Quarterly CPI was higher than economists’ expectations and will increase speculation that the Reserve Bank may again raise interest rates

The Guardian - AU

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AAP

Heated inflation figures put rate hike firmly in play

The Reserve Bank may be forced to lift interest rates again as fresh inflation data suggests the fight is not yet over.

Newsroom.co.nz

NZ sharemarket on verge of bear market

Business & investing: The NZX50 has fallen 19.5 percent since January 2021, meaning it is likely to be grizzly this week. Andrew Patterson reports.

The Guardian - AU

Interest rates could rise again ‘should inflation prove more persistent than expected’, RBA suggests

The Reserve Bank of Australia weighed up the option of lifting rates earlier this month but determined ‘there had not been sufficient new information’

Newsroom.co.nz

The known unknowns and the uncertain certainties for business

The party of business is in power, but the creases are yet to be ironed out of its dress shirt

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Newsroom.co.nz

A leaf out of John McCain's playbook

Chris Eichbaum argues Chrstopher Luxon could do with a dose of John McCain-style leadership and integrity

Newsroom.co.nz

Cost of living is the No 1 issue 'with a bullet'; tackling it will win the election

Climate, crime, health and education? Fuggedaboutit. For voters, cost of living is bigger than Covid – hell, it's bigger than Jesus. So tackling inflation will win the election. Jonathan Milne investigates.

AAP

Australian share market plunges to six-month low

The ASX200 has slumped to its lowest in six months and the dollar to its weakest since November, despite interest rates staying on hold.

The Conversation

No rate hike yet, but will it rise on Melbourne Cup Day? It all depends on petrol prices

If the Reserve Bank does push up interest rates again, the most likely next date is its next board meeting, on Melbourne Cup Tuesday.

Newsroom.co.nz

A 'hawkish' Reserve Bank rates decision will be bad for borrowers, good for savers

Business & investing: ANZ Bank economists expecting rate rise before year's end, but Kiwibank thinks hikes aren't necessary, writes Andrew Patterson

AAP

Feeble retail sales growth reflects stretched consumers

Consumers appear to be spending more cautiously in a sign the Reserve Bank's mission to reduce inflation is working as intended.

The Guardian - AU

The Reserve Bank shouldn’t be spooked by Australia’s imported inflation

If you look at what’s increased most in price over the past year, such as petrol, there is little that higher interest rates would change

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