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The Latest Breaking News from the Institute forStudy of War

Putin’s spring offensive in Ukraine has begun. Experts warn Trump has given Russia a window of opportunity

IN FOCUS: With Russia funding its war effort through financial gains from the close of the Strait of Hormuz, and amping up attacks while Trump’s eye is turned towards the Middle East, experts tell Maira Butt that this is a very delicate moment for Ukraine

The Independent UK

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Zelensky proposes energy ceasefire with Moscow as Iran conflict sends oil prices soaring

Peace efforts have stalled since the US launched a war against Iran

The Independent UK

The Russian economy is eating its own muscle to survive as Putin’s war on Ukraine destroys future capacity, former central bank advisor says

“The body is metabolizing its own muscle tissue for energy,” Prokopenko said.

Fortune

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Ukraine-Russia war latest: UK Typhoon jets to join defence missions over Poland after ‘reckless’ drone incursions

Moscow claims Nato already fighting Russia by backing Kyiv

The Independent UK

Russia Steps Out From Shadows In Africa With State Paramilitary

With the rise of a paramilitary force that analysts say is controlled by the Kremlin, Russia is openly expanding its state military footprint in Africa, after years of distancing itself from mercenaries deployed on the continent to support pro-Russian rulers.

International Business Times

Is Iran running out of missiles? Its rate of attack on Israel is already slowing down, think tank says

Israel has targeted Iran’s stockpile of missiles as well as its ability to launch them, according to the Institute for the Study of War.

Fortune

Russian advances in Ukraine slow down despite growing force size

Two analyses have captured Moscow’s battlefield struggles amid US-mediated talks to end the war.

Al Jazeera

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Battle lines in Ukraine most 'unstable' since start of war as Putin seeks breakthrough, says UK

Russia’s larger army is making grinding advances against Ukrainian forces in the east of the country

Evening Standard

Ukraine's Russia offensive is risky. To get a boost, it wants less US caution on weapons

Ukraine’s daring ground offensive has taken the fight to Russia, but not nearly as much as its leaders would like

The Independent UK

Mapping Ukraine’s surprise incursion into Russia’s Kursk region

Ukraine claims to control over 1,000sq km (386sq miles) of Russian territory since a surprise offensive began August 6.

Al Jazeera

Ukraine war briefing: Sea of Azov emptied of Russian warships, says Ukrainian navy

Recent attacks in the Black Sea have forced the Russian navy to rebase its ships elsewhere, says Ukrainian navy; multiple Russian strikes on Kharkiv damage Swiss NGO office. What we know on day 883

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine recap: western aid now boosting defensive morale as battle for Kharkiv continues

The latest reports emerging from the frontlines in Ukraine are that the artillery ammunition the defending troops have been waiting for all these months is finally beginning to filter through to them. But it’s not enough, says the authoritative US thinktank, the Institute for the Study of War. The ISW…

The Conversation

Ukraine war briefing: US Himars rockets ‘likely’ used in Ukrainian attack on Russian soil

Barrage destroyed Russian air defences in Belgorod, US thinktank says; Kamala Harris to attend Swiss peace conference. What we know on day 832

The Guardian - AU

Kyiv targets Russia’s navy as Moscow’s forces inch ahead in eastern Ukraine

Ukraine mounted a sophisticated air-and-naval attack on Sevastopol in the past week, damaging ships and infrastructure.

Al Jazeera

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France 24

Putin unveils new Russian nuclear submarines to flex naval muscle beyond Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin inaugurated two new nuclear-powered submarines this week, promising to reinforce the country’s “military-naval might”. The submarines will be assigned to Russia’s Pacific fleet, underscoring Moscow's desire to project its naval power well beyond Ukraine.

France 24

How Hamas’s military strategy against Israel is evolving in southern Gaza

Hamas has used “increasingly sophisticated” tactics against Israeli forces since the ceasefire in the Gaza strip ended on December 1, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US think tank. As the conflict is increasingly focused in southern Gaza, the Palestinian Islamist group is also deploying…

The Guardian - AU

Russia-Ukraine war: ‘killed’ Russian Black Sea fleet commander seen on video again – as it happened

Russian military news outlet publishes a second video of Viktor Sokolov after Ukraine claimed to have killed him

Al Jazeera

Ukraine picks up momentum, retakes second town in a week

Ukraine may have begun to break through Russian minefields and front-line artillery, reaching secondary defences.

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The Guardian - AU

UN report says Russian armed forces have used 91 children as human shields – as it happened

UN’s secretary general accuses Russia of killing 136 children in Ukraine in 2022, adding its armed forces to a global list of offenders

The Guardian - AU

Too soon to say where counteroffensive going, US says, but Washington confident Kyiv will prevail – as it happened

US secretary of state Antony Blinken says Ukraine should expect ‘robust’ political and practical support from the Nato summit

Axios

What to watch as Ukraine's counter-offensive heats up

"This phase may see the highest Ukrainian losses."

France 24

A small step across the Dnipro River, a giant leap for Ukraine’s counteroffensive?

The Ukrainian army not only succeeded in advancing across the Dnipro River in the Kherson region this week, it but also carried out strikes on Tokmak, a southern Ukrainian town occupied by Russia and at a strategic crossroads for a possible counteroffensive in the southeast.

Al Jazeera

Russian shelling as Ukraine forces reportedly cross Dnieper River

Russian-installed official denies reports that Kyiv’s forces have taken up positions on river’s east bank.

The Guardian - AU

Kremlin’s foreign minister to meet UN secretary general; US considering ban on exports to Russia – as it happened

Sergei Lavrov to meet António Guterres on Monday; US to discuss export ban at G7 leaders’ summit

The Guardian - AU

Russia-Ukraine war: Zelenskiy renews calls to EU for long-range weapons; Moscow says relations with west ‘worse than ever’ – as it happened

Ukrainian president speaks to EU summit via video link; senior Russia official says ICC arrest warrant for Putin added ‘negative potential’ to ties

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