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The Latest Breaking News from ISW

Ukraine forces hit more than 100 Russian vessels in Sea of Azov in eight days

Russia is looking for a way to redirect ships from the Sea of Azov after Ukrainian forces struck more than 100 Russian vessels — including oil tankers and cargo ships — in less than two weeks, isolating Moscow-occupied Crimea even more.

Euronews

Ukraine frontline frozen in June as Russian momentum falters, June data shows

Hundreds of thousands have been killed and millions forced from their homes since Russia invaded in February 2022.

Euronews

Forget the ceasefire — The U.S. and Iran are still locked in combat over the Strait of Hormuz as Tehran tries to shut down a competing route

The U.S. carved out an alternate path that runs along Oman's coast and said Saturday that it's been expanded to accommodate inbound and outbound traffic.

Fortune

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Gulf states weigh living side by side with Iran as Tehran weaponises Hormuz

As the frontline countries paying the largest price for the Iran war, pressed by severe economic urgencies, the Gulf states are beginning their own firm process towards regional stability with rival Iran, while Tehran continues weaponising the Strait of Hormuz to sow division with its neighbours.

Euronews

US and Iran sign deal, but who really won? Here's what to know

Trump signed the framework deal at Versailles while Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, pledging to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and triggering 60 days of further talks. Analysts say the terms leave Tehran in a stronger position than the deal's framing suggests.

Euronews

Ukraine's drone strikes are methodically cutting Crimea off from Russia

Ukraine has significantly intensified its strikes on military and energy sites in and around Russia-occupied Crimea in what is seen as Kyiv’s deliberate strategy of cutting the annexed Ukrainian peninsula off from Russia.

Euronews

Ukraine war briefing: Russia losing on the ground so pivots to air war, say analysts

Minimal gains on battlefield as Kyiv largely halts Moscow’s spring-summer offensive; Ukraine missile maker tests homegrown Patriot alternative. What we know on day 1,562

The Guardian - AU

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Ukraine pushed Russia back in May for second month running: AFP analysis

Ukraine has regained more land than it lost to Russia for two consecutive months. In May, Kyiv's forces secured a net gain of 282 square kilometers. This positive trend follows a similar advance in April. Ukraine's improving battlefield performance is attributed to effective drone strikes. These gains, though marginal, signal…

The Economic Times

Russia warns war costs are ravaging its finances while Ukrainian 'drone overmatch' sends Putin's forces reeling in new phase of combat

Economic growth is also stagnating, with GDP expected to tick up just 0.4% this year, down from a previous view for 1.3%.

Fortune

Iran-US deal nears finish line — but Trump and Khamenei must say yes

The draft memorandum includes unrestricted Hormuz shipping, Iran removing mines within 30 days and US sanctions waivers on Iranian oil, with nuclear talks to follow.

Euronews

Hopes for peace deal fade as US and Iran exchange fire again

US forces targeted Iranian drones near Bandar Abbas as the IRGC claimed it struck back at a US airbase, while Washington sanctioned Tehran's Hormuz toll authority and both sides published contradictory accounts of a possible deal.

Euronews

The more generous U.S. ceasefire terms are, the more suspicious Iran becomes they're a ruse for another attack, expert says

"The deal in play looks like a win for Iran. But Tehran is not convinced that it is not a dress rehearsal for war now or in 30 days."

Fortune

Iran asserts jurisdiction over UAE and Oman waters in new Strait of Hormuz map

Five Gulf states have formally warned shipping companies through the IMO not to comply, as analysts say Iran is deliberately expanding its claimed zone beyond even its own initial boundaries in a step-by-step assertion of territorial control.

Euronews

Ukraine Retakes More Land Than Russia Seized For The First Time In Over a Year And a Half

Ukraine regained more territory than Russia seized in April, the first time Moscow suffered a net territorial loss since Ukraine's incursion into Russia's Kursk region in August 2024.

International Business Times

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Euronews

Iran preparing for renewed war as military assets remain largely intact, reports warn

Iran is likely preparing for renewed conflict with the US and Israel, Washington-based ISW think tank assessed, citing military drills and asset repositioning after reports emerged that Tehran remained in possession of significant missile stockpiles.

The Independent UK

Putin hiding in underground bunkers ‘for weeks’ to avoid assassination, leaked report claims

Leader is concerned for his personal safety after the killings of top generals and an alleged attack on his personal residence

The Independent UK

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv accuses Moscow of violating ceasefire with missile and drone strikes

Worst Russian strikes of the year throughout eastern Ukraine kill 27 people in hours leading up to Kyiv's ceasefire

Euronews

Ukraine strikes Russian military facility more than 1,000 kilometres into Moscow's territory

Ukraine launched a long-range strike against Russia’s military site over 1,000 km from its border, just days before Moscow’s Victory Day parade.

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Fortune

New drones are giving Ukraine a battlefield advantage and ravaging Russia’s oil industry

“Ukraine’s defensive successes, drone adaptations, and midrange strike campaign are creating compounding effects…degrading Russian frontline forces.”

The Guardian - UK

‘Abhorrent’: the inside story of the Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war

A Guardian investigation reveals how the prediction market can shape news – and how it rules on ‘the truth’

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine war briefing: Russian oil facilities burn as Zelenskyy tours Middle East

Repairs will be slow and costly, pro-Russian bloggers complain; Ukraine’s president says Iran war is benefiting Moscow. What we know on day 1,503

The Guardian - AU

Ukraine war briefing: Russian army records almost no territorial gains for first time since 2023, analysis shows

Russian advances slowing, thinktank’s data shows; 14 killed in Ukraine in massive drone and missile salvo. What we know on day 1,501

The Independent UK

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Putin’s forces surrender to army robots in battlefield first, Zelensky says

Ukrainian robots deployed into ‘most dangerous areas’ of frontline, says Zelensky

Fortune

Iran's attacks have collapsed, and the trend is 'overwhelmingly positive,' analysts say. But the military side is separate from politics and markets

Iranian drone attacks on the United Arab Emirates collapsed from 332 on the second day of the war to just six on Sunday, according to the Institute for the Study of War.

Euronews

Israel pounds Tehran regime forces with unexpected help from Iranians

In a latest development, Israel has been targeting Basij checkpoints in Tehran using citizen videos, aiming to weaken the Islamic Republic’s internal security and embolden anti-regime protesters.

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