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The Latest Breaking News from Stefan Wolff

Has Donald Trump been outfoxed by Putin and Zelensky?

This article was first published in The Conversation UK’s World Affairs Briefing email newsletter. Sign up to receive weekly analysis of the latest developments in international relations, direct to your inbox.

The Conversation

Putin mulls over US-Ukrainian ceasefire proposal – but the initial signs aren’t positive

While Donald Trump’s special envoy was en route to Moscow to talk about a possible ceasefire deal with his opposite numbers in the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin enjoyed a meet-up with his old friend Alexander Lukashenko, the president of Belarus, and the atmosphere was reportedly congenial.

The Conversation

Where Trump’s outbursts have left Ukraine and Europe

The Conversation

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Trump mineral deal with Ukraine offers hope but little in the way of security

If you want to get an idea of how Donald Trump’s mind works (and this can change from day to day, as we know), it’s worth taking a look at his TruthSocial website. As I write, beneath a video pinned to the top of his feed featuring an AI-generated vision…

The Conversation

Trump’s art of the deal horrifies Ukraine and its allies

Browse through Donald Trump’s ghostwritten memoir, The Art of the Deal, and you’ll come across an aphorism which will go some way to explaining the US president’s approach to negotiating. Having established that he would do nearly anything within legal bounds to win, Trump adds that: “Sometimes, part of making…

The Conversation

Trump’s Gaza and Ukraine plans come under the spotlight

Steve Bannon may no longer be in Donald Trump’s inner circle, but the newly reinstated US president appears to be adhering to a dictum the conservative disrupter-in-chief outlined back in 2018 as he reflected on his role in getting Trump elected the first time. “The Democrats don’t matter. The real…

The Conversation

Donald Trump returns with plans to fix Ukraine, immigration and ‘put America first’

This article was first published as World Affairs Briefing from The Conversation UK. Click here to receive this newsletter every Thursday, direct to your inbox.

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Putting Donald Trump’s plans for Greenland and the Panama canal into context

There has been a great deal of heat – and not an overabundance of light – when it comes to the media’s reactions to Donald Trump’s renewed interest in acquiring Greenland from Denmark after he resumes the US presidency on January 20. The tone of commentary has very much had…

The Conversation

Peace on earth doesn’t look very likely any time soon

They don’t make world leaders like they used to, as far as Vladimir Putin is concerned. Talking to a Kremlin-friendly gathering of journalists at his traditional end-of-year press conference earlier today, the Russian president spoke with fond nostalgia of the old gang, saying he’d like to spend more time with…

The Conversation

What Assad’s fall means for the Middle East – and Russia

The Conversation

World Update: Donald Trump is already reshaping the prospects of Ukraine and Palestinians

In an ever-more uncertain world, one thing you can say with a degree of confidence is that, right now in global affairs, all roads lead to Donald Trump. Trump’s re-election to the US presidency – while widely anticipated (especially by the bookmakers) – has kicked off something of a chain…

The Conversation

World Update: Trump’s global shockwaves

The world was definitely watching as the US went to the polls on Tuesday. Many people turned to YouTube to view the latest figures as states turned in their votes, where an apparent 84 million hours of presidential election day news were watched from all around the globe.

The Conversation

Donald Trump wins US election – what the experts say

This is a rolling guide to articles and audio published by The Conversation in the aftermath of the US presidential election.

The Conversation

World Update: Ukraine faces prospect of defeat – but the west must ensure a just peace

There’s a degree of irony that countries attending the 2024 Brics summit this week voted to adopt the Kazan declaration (named for the capital city of the autonomous republic of Tatarstan in Russia, where the summit is being held). The declaration’s first clause emphasises that “all states should act consistently…

The Conversation

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Ukraine recap: Putin’s nuclear sabre-rattling becomes more ominous

In recent months, Vladimir Putin and his proxies have been foreshadowing a change in Russia’s nuclear doctrine. This is the set of rules that spells out when and how his country might resort to the use of its nuclear arsenal, which is currently the largest in the world. Most recently…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Kursk offensive turns the fortunes of war on their head – for now at least

Social media was buzzing earlier this week with restaurant reviews from the Kursk region of Russia, written by Ukrainian troops. They were clearly enjoying the fact that after months of grinding retreat in the face of a relentless Russian advance, they now found themselves on the other side of the…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: nearly one-third of the people would now give up land for peace as arrival of first F-16s offer fresh hope

News reports this week quoted anonymous sources from the US and Ukraine that the first six F-16 jets had been supplied by the Netherlands to the war-torn country and that more were expected to be supplied by Denmark.

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: the bleak prospect of a Trump-Vance White House

Ukraine will no longer exist by 2034, or so says former Russian president and Kremlin attack dog, Dmitry Medvedev. Medvedev didn’t say so in as many words. But, reflecting recently on the outgoing Nato leader Jens Stoltenberg’s dream of Ukraine joining within ten years, he said none of the current…

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The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Zelensky says ‘no’ to Hungary’s ceasefire proposal and ‘hurry up’ to western aid

Ukraine’s troops remain frustrated at delays in getting fresh supplies of arms and ammunition, according to reports from the frontline. It’s been several months since the US and the EU signed off on their massive aid packages to Kyiv, yet the bulk of the weapons have yet to find their…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Putin love-in with Kim Jong-un contrasts with western disarray over peace plan

Hotfoot from signing a security pact with North Korea on Wednesday, Vladimir Putin has popped up in Vietnam, another of the few remaining countries where the Russian president is still welcome (or doesn’t face arrest under the war crimes warrant issued by the International Criminal Court last year). Here he…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Putin on top as Kyiv scrambles to play catch-up on the battlefield

Vladimir Putin has been looking pretty chipper of late. Two weeks ago saw him wearing his trademark vulpine smile as he presided over the Victory Day commemorations in Moscow. It was a rather more upbeat occasion than in the two years previously, given recent Russian successes on the battlefield. Then,…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: Zelensky's defiant new year speech foreshadows tough 2024 as government tightens conscription laws

Ukraine is alive. Ukraine lives. Ukraine fights. Ukraine advances, Ukraine overcomes the path. Ukraine gains. Ukraine works. Ukraine exists.

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: as cracks appear in western support, 2024 looks set to be a desperate fight for survival

While it may seem glib to repeat the notion of a new cold war, winter 2023-2024 has brought with it the sense that there is now an ever-more uncertain faultline between the west and an increasingly aggressive Russia – perhaps more vividly than at any time since the late 1980s.…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: western divisions an ominous sign for Kyiv as the aid funding tap begins to dry up

For the past week or so it has felt as if Ukraine’s fate is more likely to be decided in Washington and Brussels than on the battlefield as US president Joe Biden struggles to get his US$111 billion (£88 billion) package of aid through the senate and EU members quibble…

The Conversation

Ukraine recap: naval success raises hopes of advantage against Russia this winter

War in wintertime is especially challenging militarily. Troops have to deal with the risk of frostbite while vehicles can’t always move over muddy or frozen terrain. It’s no wonder then that wars tend to move much more slowly during the colder months.

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