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Stefan Wolff, Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham

Ukraine war: after four surprising years, where does it go next? Experts give their view

Smoke rises over downtown Kyiv after a Russian missile attack in July 2024. Sergiy Palamarchuk / Shutterstock

Four years ago, on February 24 2022, Russian president Vladimir Putin announced that his forces had begun a full-scale invasion of Ukraine – the reasons for which we have explored here. Within minutes, explosions were heard in major Ukrainian cities as Russian troops flooded across the border.

Russian forces made swift gains, capturing key areas near the capital of Kyiv. But the offensive soon stalled and, by December, Russia had been forced to withdraw its forces and consolidate in the east where the war has ground on ever since.

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