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The Latest Breaking News from Robert Pape

Iran is forcing the U.S. into an escalation trap as a 'shadow war' over the Strait of Hormuz heats up that could kill the tenuous ceasefire

"The collision course is set, and worse is yet to come."

Fortune

'Brace for New Shocks in June' as World Oil Supplies Near a Point of No Return, Analysts Warn

Global oil reserves are depleting rapidly due to the Iran war, with experts warning of severe economic impacts if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

International Business Times UK

War, Shutdown, Sleeper Cells: Is US Air Travel Entering a Risky Phase?

Explore the impact of global conflicts and domestic issues on US air travel safety. Learn about TSA challenges, terrorism concerns, and why experts still consider flying secure despite potential delays.

International Business Times UK

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The escalation trap: how the Iran war could become more costly and complex

Iran’s is trying to create wedges between Gulf states and the US, but Trump is very comfortable on the ‘escalatory ladder’

The Guardian - UK

‘Chaos is coming’: Venezuela primed for violent insurgency following US intervention, experts warn

Violent drug cartels, paramilitary groups and powerful security units could wreak violence across Venezuela

The Independent UK

Over Half of Americans Expect a Political Candidate Will Be Assassinated Within 5 Years, New Survey Shows

More than half of Americans believe it is very or somewhat likely that a political candidate will be assassinated in the next five years, according to a new POLITICO/Public First poll.

Latin Times

Charlie Kirk’s death shows political violence is now a feature of US life

Shooting of the commentator comes as a series of events show a rising level of violence related to political dissent

The Guardian - US

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‘Our era of violent populism’: the US has entered a new phase of political violence

The political temperature is dangerously high – and shows few signs of cooling

The Guardian - US

Trump and other Republicans mock Democrats after Minnesota lawmaker killings

While many in GOP condemn attacks, others use it to poke fun at Democrats or suggest they instigated the violence

The Guardian - US

Shooting of Israeli embassy staffers underscores US ‘era of violent populism’

This is the latest act of violence in a string of incidents that have affected Jewish, Arab and Muslim communities

The Guardian - US

Trump rewrites the violence of January 6 and ‘legitimates future ones’

If criminal charges were meant to deter acts of violence, the pardons of over 1,500 people do the opposite, say experts

The Guardian - US

Brian Thompson’s killing sparks outrage over state of US healthcare

Americans turn to social media to discuss dire experiences at hands of health insurance companies

The Guardian - US

Political violence has marked the 2024 race – but risks rise after election day

Experts fear those convicted over January 6 attack may act violently again – but biggest threat comes from lone actors

The Guardian - US

Indictments fueled extremists’ support for Trump, survey finds

Support for democratic norms has gone from ‘bad to worse’ as Trump’s attempt to twist messaging is working

The Guardian - US

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The Guardian - US

‘Better be scared’: threats of political violence foretell tense election year

Several years of sustained harassment of election workers and judges have led to security concerns and a high turnover

The Independent UK

Israel's military campaign in Gaza seen as among the most destructive in history, experts say

After 11 weeks of war in Gaza, the Israeli military campaign against Hamas now sits among the deadliest and most destructive in history

The Guardian - US

Democracy and distrust: overcoming threats to the 2024 US election

The Chicago Project on Security and Threats and the Guardian co-host an event on how to safeguard the future of US democracy at 5pm CT – watch here

The Guardian - US

‘Anger and radicalization’: rising number of Americans say political violence is justified

Survey shows a small but significant share of Americans believe in use of force to attain political goals – from both left and right

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The Guardian - US

12m Americans believe violence is justified to restore Trump to power

University of Chicago research finds support for violence to achieve political goals and general distrust of democracy

Los Angeles Times

Mark Z. Barabak: Paul Pelosi is a victim of poisoned politics. Those inciting violence must be held to account

Elections have consequences, as the saying goes. So too does the rhetoric surrounding elections.

Los Angeles Times

We are a tinderbox’: Political violence is ramping up, US experts warn

In San Francisco’s tony Pacific Heights neighborhood, an intruder broke into House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s home and violently attacked her husband. In a New York courtroom, a man pleaded guilty to threatening to kill California Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell. In Washington, federal law enforcement warned that violent domestic extremism posed…

Los Angeles Times

Doyle McManus: Right-wing militia leaders, on trial for sedition, continue to threaten democracy

Five leaders of the Oath Keepers, a right-wing militia that played a leading role in storming the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, went on trial last week in Washington.

WEKU

At the Jan. 6 hearings, race isn't discussed much. Still, it's a central issue

The Jan. 6 Committee has been uncovering what led up to the insurrection. But just beneath the surface is a central cause of the riot — racism and the fear of losing white power.

The Guardian - US

Incendiary Republican ads boasting of ‘hunting’ rivals raise fears of violence

Ads like Greitens’ in which he says ‘get a Rino hunting permit’ could lead people to rationalize acts of violence, experts warn

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