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The Latest Breaking News from Robert Hayward

The key moments that could ‘decide fate of Keir Starmer’ next year

Lord Robert Hayward has warned of a number of heavy Labour defeats in 2026

The Independent UK

Heavy Labour losses in May could decide Starmer’s future – expert

Gains in London councils such as Westminster or Barnet could help shore up Kemi Badenoch’s position as Conservative leader, an expert said.

The Independent UK

Tory patience wears thin as Badenoch’s critics count down to May elections

With the party adrift and Reform surging, Jenrick’s allies are sharpening their pitch for a post-election reset

The Guardian - UK

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Mapped: Where 16 and 17-year-olds could sway the vote in next general election

‘Seismic’ move announced by Labour last month would allow 1.5 million more teenagers to cast a ballot at next election – but leading pollsters suggest Nigel Farage and Corbyn’s parties could be real winners

The Independent UK

Starmer’s migrants return deal a ‘publicity stunt’ that won’t win back voters, top pollsters warn

Exclusive: The warning comes as new survey of Labour members seen by The Independent reveals concerns about Keir Starmer’s wider migration policy

The Independent UK

Farage’s support has ‘topped out’, pollster claims as Starmer told to stop obsessing about Reform

Analysis by respected pollster Robert Hayward is based on Reform’s support in the polls dropping as well as its membership, and the party suffering two embarrassing by-election defeats last week

The Independent UK

Reform UK to pilot Doge-style scheme to examine council spending

Party tells council officers they risk ‘gross misconduct’ if they block Elon Musk-inspired initiative

The Guardian - UK

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Starmer’s team hope policy blitz will prove that Labour can deliver change

Those close to PM worry voters are running out of patience and want reforms to directly help public

The Guardian - UK

Sunak in last-ditch attempt to rally Conservative voters with threat of a Labour ‘supermajority’

Rishi Sunak insists he has not given up, with final 48-hour push for votes to ‘stop a Labour supermajority’ – as leading pollster argues polls have been wrong

The Independent UK

Lib Dems hoping fair electoral wind will help blow down England’s ‘blue wall’

Calum Miller, the Lib Dem candidate for Bicester and Woodstock, has been faced with widespread disenchantment from former Tory voters

The Guardian - UK

Curtice warns that YouGov poll putting Reform ahead proves ‘things are going backwards’ for Tories

Polling experts are at odds over the accuracy of Reform’s real vote in the election surveys so far

The Independent UK

Lord Heseltine warns spiralling Tory party is ‘fighting for its life’ after disastrous D-Day fallout

Exclusive: Former deputy prime minister’s intervention comes as senior ministers are already engaging in a phantom leadership contest to replace Sunak

The Independent UK

Starmer failing to ‘seal the deal’ as poll shows voter turnout could be worst in modern history

New poll suggests Labour leader is struggling to capitalise on Tories angry with their own party following Sunak’s D-Day disaster – and predicts worst voter turnout in modern history

The Independent UK

Tory chairman’s last minute bid for seat as party scrambles to find up to 141 candidates

Tory chairman Richard Holden is biggest name in a 48-hour scramble for Tory seats as the party tries to fill an estimated 141 vacancies

The Independent UK

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The Guardian - UK

Labour lead over Conservatives may be overstated, says Tory election expert

Exclusive: Robert Hayward, who identified ‘shy Tories’ in 1992, suggests the party is winning support from undecided voters

The Independent UK

John Curtice warns Sunak that Tory election victory would ‘biggest turnaround in history’

Leading pollsters believe that Sunak’s monumental task of winning the general election would defy history

The Guardian - UK

The week in classical: Cavalleria rusticana/Aleko; Bath BachFest review – passion and penitence

Opera North pairs Mascagni’s masterpiece with teenage Rachmaninov in a potent double bill. Plus, well-tuned extremes from Tenebrae and a blizzard of notes with Mahan Esfahani

The Guardian - UK

Another Canada 93? Tory Sunak critics fear extinction-level election result

A complacent incumbent, an insurgent rightwing challenger – but key differences mean talk of wipeout may be overblown

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news in one place.

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The Guardian - UK

The Telegraph hopes to reshape Tory party in its own image

Amid the paper’s own crises, the Telegraph’s intent seems clear: lower taxes and crack down on immigration

The Independent UK

Falling mortgage rates will not boost Tory election hopes, Rishi Sunak warned

The PM had hoped a better economic outlook and falling rates would provide a boost for autumn election, saying ‘2024 is going to be a better year’

The Independent UK

Tories only winning among certain age group, polls show

Rishi Sunak’s party is trailing Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour with voters in every age group except the over-65s, polls show

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak faces election wipeout even if flights to Rwanda take off, top pollster warns

Exclusive: Devastating forecast has Tories heading for landslide defeat – as voters care more about economy and NHS rather than deportation policy

Evening Standard

Suella Braverman to be 'fired within days,' says top Tory as Chancellor refuses to back her police bias claim

The Tory Party is split over whether Rishi Sunak should sack the Home Secretary

The Independent UK

‘Architects of disaster’: Boris, Truss and Tory right accused of leading party into electoral wilderness

Tory chair Greg Hands blames ‘legacy’ issues, as moderates warn PM against further lurch to the right

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak facing red wall wipeout at general election, shock poll shows

Exclusive: More than a quarter of the most financially distressed constituencies are red wall seats held by the Conservatives, figures show

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