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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Christopher McKeon

The key moments that could ‘decide fate of Keir Starmer’ next year

Sir Keir Starmer Robert Hayward Lord Hayward SNP Kemi Badenoch Plaid Cymru Rachel Reeves Reform Greens Holyrood

Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership faces a critical test next May, with a prominent polling expert predicting significant Labour losses across the UK.

Lord Robert Hayward has warned of heavy defeats in English council elections, a loss in the Welsh Senedd, and a "battering" in the Scottish Parliament on 7 May 2026.

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