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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Recession or not, New Zealand GDP growing again

New Zealand enjoyed a return to solid growth in the June quarter, with Stats NZ reporting an 0.9 increase, well beyond market expectations.

AAP

What will Federal Reserve do next? Any hint of future rate hikes will be key focus of latest meeting

The Federal Reserve is set to leave its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday as it seeks to guide the U.S. economy toward a “soft landing” of cooling inflation without triggering a deep recession

The Independent UK

New Zealand set to exit recession with low growth

Market expectation for gross domestic product growth in New Zealand is 0.5 per cent for the second quarter of the year.

AAP

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Top analyst Ed Yardeni raises the odds of recession to 25% citing oil prices rising to $94 and a potential repeat of 1970s-style stagflation

If oil prices rise to and remain above $100 per barrel, Yardeni fears we could see a repeat of the inflationary 1970s.

Fortune

Why the Bull Market is Still in Charge?

It’s been nearly 2 months that the S&P 500 (SPY) has been mired in a trading range. That is why investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares his latest insights to explain why a bull market is still in place...and how to target the best stocks and ETFs for the days ahead.…

StockNews.com

Vanguard sees recession coming amid stubborn inflation

The economy grew an annualized 2.1% in the second quarter. And the federal funds rate stands at 5.25-5.5%.

The Street

Will the FOMC Raise Interest Rates One Last Time this Year?

The markets are unanimously expecting the FOMC at its 2-day meeting that begins today to leave its funds rate target range unchanged at 5.25%/5.50%. However, the markets are still on guard for one last rate hike this year. Specifically, the markets are discounting the odds at 29% that the FOMC...

Barchart

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Stock market today: Asian shares weaker ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Asian shares are mostly weaker in cautious trading ahead of the Federal Reserve’s looming decision on interest rates

The Independent UK

Wall Street’s Dr. Doom is sounding downright sunny as he predicts a 'short and shallow’ recession or even no recession at all instead of the epic collapse he saw in 2022

Nouriel Roubini saw a “variant of another Great Depression” less than a year ago, but now he’s open to a soft landing without any recession at all.

Fortune

Does Wile E Coyote explain US voters’ gloom amid buoyant economy?

Official figures point to an impressive recovery but many Americans don’t feel that way. Is the economy heading for a fall?

The Guardian - US

What if Jerome Powell pulled off a soft landing and nobody noticed? It's the economy's Groundhog Day

Economists are seeing shadows.

Fortune

The ODD Story Behind Thursday’s BIG Stock Rally

We have all been worried about what high inflation will do to the economy and stock market. And yet on Thursday inflation spiked again, yet amazingly the S&P 500 (SPY) had a great session. Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares the reasons why in his new market outlook with trading plan…

StockNews.com

What a crop of upcoming IPOs from Birkenstock to Instacart tells us about the economy

A crop of IPOs are coming, starting with chip designer Arm, which is making its debut on Thursday. It's another sign of confidence in markets — and the U.S. economy.

WEKU

Europe's central bank faces close call on interest rates as threat of recession grows

The European Central Bank is deciding whether to raise interest rates again or not, and analysts are saying it's a close call

The Independent UK

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The Street

This article shares Michael Burry's net worth and discusses how he made money shorting first the tech industry and later the housing market, as made famous in the film "The Big Short." His firm's role in the GameStop short squeeze is also discussed.

Michael Burry was worth around $1.2 billion in April of 2023, having built much of his wealth shorting tech companies during the dot-com bubble and later shorting the mortgage market before its collapse in 2007 prior to the Great Recession.

Barchart

Buy This Boring Dividend Stock Now, While Recession Odds Are Low

Consumer staples stocks, like Mondelez and General Mills, have been punished by investors as analysts lighten up their recession forecasts. For savvy investors, this could be an opportunity to load up on portfolio protection.

Evening Standard

OPINION - The next recession may have already begun

If the UK economy soon slips into recession, we will likely gesture vaguely at summer – such as it was – for when the contraction began. GDP shrank by 0.5 per cent in July, the sharpest decline since December, with services, production and construction all shrinking.

The National (Scotland)

Recession 'can't be ruled out' as UK economy shrinks at quickest pace in seven months

THERE are renewed concerns that the UK could be facing a recession as the latest figures show the

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The Independent UK

Recession fears as UK economy shrinks by more than expected in shock decline

Summer washout hits retail and construction sectors – but chancellor insists there are ‘reasons to be confident’

Evening Standard

‘Recession may have begun’ as UK economy shrinks by 0.5% in July, GDP figures show

Government minister Maria Caulfield conceded that the decline in GDP was “disappointing”

StockNews.com

KISS for the Stock Market

Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister does his level best to simplify todays stock market picture to discuss when stocks will be ready to break above 4,600 for the S&P 500 (SPY). And what stocks will lead the way to outperformance. Read on for the full story below.

The Guardian - UK

UK interest rates: will the Bank listen to business and halt the rises?

Soaring pay growth puts pressure on the Bank to act again, but a slowing economy could tip into recession

Newsroom.co.nz

Recession to end but Govt surplus delayed a year

The pre-election forecasts offer a rosier picture of the economy, with wages growing ahead of inflation, but tougher times for the Government’s own books.

The Guardian - UK

Wegovy: the slimming drug that keeps Denmark’s economy growing

Novo Nordisk, the maker of the blockbuster obesity injection, has singlehandedly saved the country from recession

Fortune

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

Strong initial claims data is evidence that a recession in 2023 is looking less likely, many economists say.

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