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The Latest Breaking News from Mark Zandi

A top forecaster sees the market bottoming as Wall Street raises recession forecasts over Trump tariffs

Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Moody’s see an elevated chance of a recession this year on the back of tariffs and trade wars.

Goldman Sachs now sees much higher odds of economy shrinking, hiking probability of a U.S. recession to 35%

Goldman Sachs now sees much higher odds of economy shrinking, hiking probability of a U.S. recession to 35%

Goldman believes the tax-like impact on real disposable income and consumer spending from Trump's tariff policies will hurt U.S. growth prospects.

Boston Fed president says tariff-induced inflation ‘looks inevitable.’ She suspects the central bank will hold rates steady for longer

Boston Fed president says tariff-induced inflation ‘looks inevitable.’ She suspects the central bank will hold rates steady for longer

However, Susan Collins said the inflation could be short-lived.

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Jerome Powell doubles down on a word that has haunted him, saying pain from tariffs would be ‘transitory’

The Fed’s slowness to catch the inflation surge that began during the pandemic has earned it scads of criticism. Is this time different?

Wall Street's recession odds are starting to look like a coin flip as Trump refuses to back down on his trade war

"If we would continue down this road of what would be more disruptive, business-unfriendly policies, I think the risks on that recession front would go up."

Five of the world’s richest people attended Trump’s inauguration. They have lost $209 billion since that day

Elon Musk’s net worth has tumbled by $148 billion alone since Trump took office

The Independent UK

Is a Recession Coming in 2025? 3 Experts Weigh In.

Experts are increasingly concerned that Trump tariffs could lead to a recession in 2025, with one even pegging the possibility at 75%.

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Even as US slashes jobs, ‘it is the calm before the storm’, economists warn

Even as US slashes jobs, ‘it is the calm before the storm’, economists warn

An upcoming trade war and more DOGE job cuts will hammer the US economy, economists warn.

Recession chances are ‘close to 50/50,’ Clinton’s treasury secretary says

Recession chances are ‘close to 50/50,’ Clinton’s treasury secretary says

The warnings from economists come amidst chaos and uncertainty created by President Donald Trump’s trade war on Mexico, Canada and China

The Independent UK

Trump’s Tariffs and retailers’ warnings: The truth behind the US economy and whether a recession is coming

Trump’s Tariffs and retailers’ warnings: The truth behind the US economy and whether a recession is coming

The economy under Trump’s first month in office is not what he promised on the campaign trail and it looks to be an uncertain year for the average American, economists told The Independent

The Independent UK

America’s consumer economy is hostage to its top earners—and that could mean trouble down the road

America’s consumer economy is hostage to its top earners—and that could mean trouble down the road

A Moody’s Analytics report revealed America’s wealthiest individuals are buoying discretionary spending.

Who's spending? The richest among us

Who's spending? The richest among us

The top 10% of earners in the U.S. are spending the most, while others are being cautious

‘Inflation is back,’ Trump says. ‘I had nothing to do with it’

‘Inflation is back,’ Trump says. ‘I had nothing to do with it’

An inflation surge in January is complicating Trump’s campaign promise to bring down prices on “day one.”

US Fed Expected To Hold Rate Steady Despite Trump Pressure To Cut

US Fed Expected To Hold Rate Steady Despite Trump Pressure To Cut

After three interest rate cuts in a row, the US Federal Reserve is expected to take a breather on Wednesday and signal it will remain on pause until the data changes, despite pressure to cut from President Donald Trump.

International Business Times

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US Fed Expected To Cut Again, Despite Uncertain Path Ahead

In the last couple of months, the Fed's favored inflation has ticked higher, moving away from the bank's long-term target of two percent, and raising concern that the battle against inflation is not over.

International Business Times

US Fed Expected To Cut Interest Rates Again, But Path Ahead Is Murky

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates by a quarter point on Wednesday and signal a slower pace of cuts ahead.

Experts say Kamala Harris housing plan is most-aggressive since World War II

“Our lack of affordable housing will continue to depress savings, opportunity, and growth in ways that will do long-term harm to the nation’s economy.”

The anticipation of a Trump win is sending mortgage rates soaring. Top economists say scorching inflation is very likely to go with it

Rising inflation is what pickled the housing world in the first place.

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Donald Trump's Plans to Fight Inflation Would Actually Make it Worse, Economists Say

While experts also disagree with some of Vice President Kamala Harris's proposals, they say her plans are not "inflationary" when compared to her opponent's.

The Independent UK

Trump's economic plans would worsen inflation, experts say

Donald Trump has vowed that if voters return him to the White House, “inflation will vanish completely.”

Kamala Harris’s housing plan is the most aggressive since post–World War II boom, experts say

“Our lack of affordable housing will continue to depress savings, opportunity, and growth in ways that will do long-term harm to the nation’s economy.”

Prof: Trump inflation plan will backfire

Trump's “unrealistic and undesirable" plan could blow up the economy, experts warn

Wall Street Reacts To Jobs Report With Fear And Uncertainty

Wall Street reacts with 'Extreme Fear' as jobs report disappoints, but experts remain cautiously optimistic about US economy's resilience.

Why This Economist Thinks the Fed Is Already Late to Cut Rates

Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi talks to Kiplinger about what he thinks the Federal Reserve is getting wrong on inflation.

Immigrants help sustain job growth as inflation cools, economists say

Goldman Sachs told that to their clients in a note.

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