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The Latest Breaking News from John Curtice

Why are voters continuing to support Reform UK? John Curtice gives verdict

SUPPORT for Reform UK is driven more by ideology than dissatisfaction with the state of the UK, a major survey has suggested

The National (Scotland) · Jun 2

Reform UK support could plateau as it relies on socially conservative views, study finds

Party could struggle to push ratings as strategy increasingly focuses on views held by minority of voters, research finds

The Guardian - UK · Jun 1

Reform UK’s support is more than a ‘protest’ vote, research suggests

Leading polling expert Sir John Curtice says Farage’s party eating Conservatives ‘for breakfast, lunch and dinner’

The Independent UK · Jun 1

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John Curtice gives verdict on impact of Murrell scandal on SNP support

JOHN Curtice has given his verdict on the forthcoming Westminster by-elections in Scotland and whether the furore after Peter Murrell pled guilty to…

The National (Scotland) · Jun 1

The Scottish electoral system has delivered its most disproportional result yet

In the event, the SNP did not win the overall majority First Minister John Swinney sought in the 2026 Scottish election. However, between them the SNP and the Greens won 73 seats, 57% of all MSPs. It is the largest ever contingent of pro-independence MSPs at Holyrood.

The Conversation · May 29

John Curtice reveals winners and losers of Scottish elections' voting system

REFORM UK would be Scotland’s second largest party behind the SNP while Labour and the Greens tied for third if the Scottish election system…

The National (Scotland) · May 20

Downing Street accused of plot to derail Andy Burnham’s by-election hopes

Exclusive: Labour MPs are being briefed that Burnham could bring back Corbyn amid claims of a dirty tricks campaign to stop the Greater Manchester mayor

The Independent UK · May 18

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2026 elections mapped: how Labour lost ground in different directions

Keir Starmer’s party has lost out to Reform and the Greens, with no respite in Scotland, Wales or England

The Guardian - UK · May 11

Friday briefing: What the local election results tell us so far

In today’s newsletter: gains for Reform and losses for Labour in early results, but experts say overall picture underlines ‘the fracturing of British politics’

The Guardian - UK · May 8

Sir John Curtice delivers blunt verdict on Starmer as Labour braces for election losses

Sir Keir Starmer has “never been as popular” as his Labour Party, elections expert Professor Sir John Curtice said as he analyzed the prime minister’s role in his party’s poor polling ahead of the local elections.

The Independent UK · May 7

Eve-of-election poll suggests SNP’s lead is ‘tightening’

The poll came after elections expert Professor Sir John Curtice said the ‘odds are against’ a majority win for John Swinney’s party.

Evening Standard · May 6

‘Odds against’ John Swinney’s SNP winning Holyrood majority, says polling expert

Professor Sir John Curtice gave his latest view on the eve of Thursday’s Scottish Parliament election.

Evening Standard · May 6

Local election protest votes are no time for defenestrating prime ministers

THE INDEPENDENT VIEW: Editorial: However disastrous the outcome of the local elections, Labour’s leadership crisis will not be solved by hopping from replacement to replacement – as the Conservatives previously found out to their cost

The Independent UK · May 4

Starmer will be forced out of No 10 – it’s just a matter of when and how, top pollster warns

Exclusive: John Curtice says the likelihood of Keir Starmer leading Labour into the next election ‘is very low indeed’

The Independent UK · May 4

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Evening Standard · May 3

Scottish Tory leader Russell Findlay says he will not lose his seat at election

Mr Findlay said he did not agree with analysis from Sir John Curtice that he could lose his seat if his candidate for the Eastwood constituency wins.

Evening Standard · Apr 30

SNP bound to win ‘vast bulk’ of constituencies if polls are accurate – Curtice

The polling expert however said the three current largest parties in Scotland are ‘all doing badly’ compared to the last election.

Evening Standard · Apr 29

Local elections 2026: Starmer 'may be saved' from worst nightmare by Labour surviving Green surge in London

Professor Sir John Curtice cast doubt on whether Zack Polanski’s Green Party will make a ‘big breakthrough’ in the capital in the May 7 local elections

The Independent UK · Apr 27

Local elections mapped: Where Labour is facing a ‘calamity’ and the key seats to watch

The governing party could see its worst-ever results on 7 May, experts have warned

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The Independent UK · Apr 25

Unpopular Starmer a negative on the doorstep, Labour mayors warn as they fear local elections wipeout

Exclusive: Labour mayors say repeated U-turns, failure to communicate successes, and the Peter Mandelson scandal are pushing voters away

The Guardian - UK · Mar 23

‘Unprecedented territory’: are UK polls as volatile as they seem? – in charts

In what is beginning to look like a fragmented five-party system, small swings carry outsized political consequences

The Independent UK · Mar 17

Why Nigel Farage is angry at pollsters as Reform’s support falls

IN FULL

The Independent UK · Mar 17

Polling guru says ‘no doubt’ Reform’s support is falling as Nigel Farage renews attack on YouGov

Sir John Curtice and other polling analysts have noted the average for Nigel Farage’s party across polls has dropped in the past month

The Guardian - UK · Feb 27

Five key takeaways from the Gorton and Denton byelection

The night saw a big win for the Greens, disappointment for Reform and landmark losses for Labour and the Tories

Evening Standard · Feb 17

London local elections leave Labour 'nowhere to hide' with Greens on march in the capital, new analysis

But the city is such a Labour stronghold that it may cling onto many wards, says Professor Sir John Curtice

The Independent UK · Feb 17

Tories could be hit harder by local election U-turn than Labour, top pollster says

John Curtice says the Conservative Party is facing challenges in large county councils now being forced to organise May elections

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