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The Latest Breaking News from John Curtice

The Polanski effect? These charts reveal how much the Greens have advanced

The Green party has made gains under its leader – but there is also uncertainty ahead

The Guardian - UK · Jan 29

‘We want a real political fight over this’: Why Starmer wants to make Brexit the key issue at the next election

Exclusive: After tacking to the right on migration, it is on EU relations that the government believes it can strike a clear dividing line with opposition parties ahead of the next general election

The Independent UK · Jan 25

Starmer allies ‘plan to block Andy Burnham’s route back to Westminster’

Starmer allies on Labour’s national executive committee reportedly trying to stop potential leadership rival from standing at by-election

The Independent UK · Jan 23

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Robert Jenrick boasts that Reform is for the workers, but it’s a class war trap – and Labour shouldn’t fall for it

Though Labour's voters are more likely to be the educated middle-classes, its focus must be fighting inequality. We know Farage’s party will only enrich the wealthy, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK · Jan 19

Andy Burnham is Labour’s best hope of keeping Farage out of No 10, according to UK’s top pollster

With rumours swirling about a coup against Starmer, Britain’s leading polling guru told The Independent that he would not be surprised if one of the main party leaders is replaced in 2026

The Independent UK · Jan 4

Farage claims Reform is now UK’s biggest party as Labour membership plummets

According to an internal leak Labour has lost 100,000 paid up members since the election leaving Reform UK as the UK’s biggest party

The Independent UK · Dec 12, 2025

Liz Truss mini-Budget torpedoed Brexit economic hopes, says expert as Labour seeks closer EU ties

The UK economy has suffered a multi-billion pound blow from quitting the European Union, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility

Evening Standard · Dec 3, 2025

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Starmer to face cabinet backlash if he breaks manifesto pledge on income tax

Senior ministers fear rumoured plans could backfire significantly with already-weary voters

The Independent UK · Nov 1, 2025

‘Disappointed’ Starmer in firing line over historic by-election defeat for Labour in Caerphilly

‘We clearly need to do much more’ admits prime minister

The Independent UK · Oct 24, 2025

What does Plaid Cymru stand for?

Plaid Cymru’s leader Rhun ap Iorwerth has hailed the by-election result as ‘real evidence’ that people are putting their ‘faith’ in the party

The Independent UK · Oct 24, 2025

Plaid Cymru’s Caerphilly by-election win leaves Labour with ‘very tough fight’

Cabinet Office minister Nick Thomas-Symonds said the result pointed to a ‘fractured political landscape’.

Evening Standard · Oct 24, 2025

John Curtice says Labour in ‘severe trouble’ in Wales after humiliating by-election defeat

Plaid Cymru ‘now well placed to provide Wales with its next first minister’, says top pollster

The Independent UK · Oct 24, 2025

Senior SNP figures believe Holyrood majority ‘within reach’ at May’s election

As party gathers for conference, re-engaging independence supporters seen as way forward after trust in Scottish government hits record low

The Guardian - UK · Oct 10, 2025

It’s Tory conference: Boriswave goodbye to a deluded party on its way to electoral annihilation

When both Reform and the Liberal Democrats are eating your lunch, and even Nadine Dorries has abandoned ship, it might just be time to call it, says Guardian columnist Marina Hyde

The Guardian - UK · Oct 7, 2025

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Evening Standard · Oct 5, 2025

Electoral system means Lib Dems will ‘undoubtedly’ win more seats than Tories

Polling expert Sir John Curtice said the coalition of voters Boris Johnson assembled in 2019 had all but broken up.

The Independent UK · Oct 5, 2025

Lib Dems will ‘almost undoubtedly’ win more seats than Tories, says top pollster John Curtice

Sir John Curtice made the stark warning at a fringe event at the Conservative party conference

The Independent UK · Oct 4, 2025

Badenoch is unknown to UK public and not trusted by voters, top pollster says

Sir John Curtice says the Conservative leader managed to make no impression on much of the public

The Guardian - UK · Oct 1, 2025

Wednesday briefing: The prime minister’s big conference speech promised renewal – can he deliver?

In today’s newsletter: Subdued vibes on the floor, poor polls and teetering party politics stand in the way of Keir Starmer’s plan to take Britain to the promised land

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The Independent UK · Sep 30, 2025

Starmer argues for inclusive patrotism and accuses Farage of trying to divide Britain

Prime Minister Keir Starmer gas accused hard-right politician Nigel Farage of crossing “a moral line” with his anti-immigtration stance

The National (Scotland) · Sep 29, 2025

John Curtice gives damning verdict as poll finds Keir Starmer 'least popular PM' ever

JOHN Curtice has offered a damning assessment of Labour’s first year in power ...

The Independent UK · Sep 29, 2025

Don’t just focus on immigration if you want to beat Reform, Starmer warned

John Curtice tells Labour and Keir Starmer not to make the same mistake as the Conservatives

Evening Standard · Sep 29, 2025

‘Mistake’ to think Reform is the only threat, polling guru tells Labour

Sir John Curtice said improving the economy and the NHS was more likely to return voters to the party.

The National (Scotland) · Sep 28, 2025

Majority of Scots back independence and SNP on track for Holyrood win, poll shows

SCOTS would vote to leave the Union should an independence referendum be held tomorrow, and there would be a pro-independence majority at Holyrood,…

The National (Scotland) · Sep 23, 2025

SNP set for major lead in Westminster and Holyrood elections, new poll finds

SCOTTISH Labour would lose all but six of their Westminster seats if a new General Election were held tomorrow ...

The National (Scotland) · Sep 23, 2025

John Curtice offers 2026 Holyrood election prediction after new poll

PROFESSOR John Curtice has given his verdict on new polling giving the SNP a major lead in Holyrood and Westminster voting intention ...

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