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The Latest Breaking News from Interest Rates

Retail sales up a solid 0.7% in September as American consumers defy rising prices, interest rates

Americans kept spending in September at a solid pace even as they grappled with higher prices and interest rates

The Independent UK

UK regular pay rising faster than inflation again; Goldman Sachs profits fall by a third – as it happened

Basic pay outpaces inflation for the first time in almost two years, but fall in vacancies suggests jobs market is cooling

The Guardian - UK

UK economy in ‘horrible bind’ as recession looms with no room for tax cuts, say experts

Britain in for ‘protracted period of high taxes and tight spending’, says Institute for Fiscal Studies

The Independent UK

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UK economy in ‘horrible’ bind with no room for tax cuts as recession looms – IFS

Britain is heading towards a recession next year as borrowing costs stay elevated, the IFS warned in its latest Green Budget.

The Independent UK

Will Big Tech Earnings Results Boost Market Sentiment?

With the list of headwinds for the stock market, from high interest rates to geopolitical concerns in the Middle East, investors hope that soon-to-be-released third-quarter earnings results from the mega-cap technology companies will boost market sentiment. The biggest U.S technology companies have slashed thousands of jobs and reduced costs, and...

Barchart

Stocks Gain on Diplomatic Efforts to Contain the Israeli-Hamas Conflict

What you need to know… The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.10%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.97%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.22%. Stocks this morning are moderately higher, with the Dow...

Barchart

UK house prices rise at slowest post-summer rate since 2008 crash

Rightmove says 0.5% rise is smallest for time of year since financial crisis 15 years ago as higher interest rates hit home

The Guardian - UK

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Rich nations, the IMF and World Bank are worried about the Israel-Hamas war, but not nearly enough

Just like the Yom Kippur war 50 years before, the current conflict represents a grave threat to an already fragile global economy

The Guardian - UK

Gauging the Grain Market: Where are Soybeans, Corn, and Wheat Headed?

Earlier today, I was interviewed by Michelle Rook on AgWeb's Markets Now. We spoke about the action in the grain markets, energy markets, gold, cattle, and interest rates.

Barchart

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns the Israel-Hamas conflict ‘may have far-reaching impacts’ on the economy. ‘This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades’

“Last week’s attacks on Israel may have far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade, and geopolitical relationships,” Dimon warned.

Fortune

Copper- Why Is Copper Under Pressure?

I have been bullish on copper, but the price action remains bearish. Copper is the leading base metal on the London Metals Exchange. Aluminum, nickel, lead, zinc, and tin prices often follow copper higher or lower. In October 2023, copper remains in a bearish trend, but bullish and bearish factors…

Barchart

Jeremy Hunt issues bleak warning on UK economy at IMF conference

Chancellor says high interest rates mean he has had to borrow up to £30bn more than planned

Evening Standard

Crooked Bridgeport bank used these people’s CDs to fuel embezzlement scheme — ‘We were all victims’

Washington Federal Bank for Savings customers had no idea the high interest rates that attracted them were feeding the fraud. The bank’s “smooth operators” lured them in, the daughter of one victim says.

Chicago Sun-Times

No, Low Interest Rates Did Not Justify Adding Trillions of Dollars to the National Debt

Especially because the once-dismissed possibility of rising rates is now a reality.

Reason

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Barchart

Dollar Moves Higher as Strong U.S. CPI Boosts Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday rose by +0.70%. The dollar on Thursday recovered from a 2-1/2 week low and posted moderate gains after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic reports bolstered the outlook for the Fed to raise interest rates one more time this year. Also, dovish ECB comments on Thursday...

Reason

Inflation Won't Go Away Until Congress Gets the Deficit Under Control

The Federal Reserve's higher interest rates were supposed to trigger changes to fiscal policy. So far, that hasn't happened.

Fortune

Long-term interest rates are spiking. Could they deliver a recession–or are they a sign of strength for the U.S. economy?

Rather than being vetoed by bond markets, policymakers are seeking higher rates–and getting what they want.

The Guardian - UK

Full force of interest rate hikes is yet to be felt, says Bank of England official

Swati Dhingra says economy has flatlined and millions of mostly young and poorer people could be affected if rates stay high

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Fortune

Top economist Mohammed El-Erian warns markets got ‘drunk on support’ from central bank ‘BFFs’, and now he’s more comfortable keeping his fortune in cash

Mohammed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz and former Pimco CEO, says the Fed and Bank of England's high rates bodes well for savers.

The Guardian - UK

US inflation sticks at 3.7%; UK recession fears linger despite August growth; Ikea to cut prices – as it happened

UK services sector lifts economy back to growth in August, but BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra warns that economy is flatlining

Barchart

Stocks Settle Higher as Bond Yields Fall on Dovish Fed Comments

What you need to know… The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed up +0.43%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.72%. Stocks on Wednesday closed moderately higher on a...

Barchart

The Dollar Index Recovers- Will it Continue to Rally?

The bearish trend in the U.S. dollar index took it from a twenty-year high in September 2022 to below the 100 level in July 2023. After probing under the psychological level, the index has recovered as U.S. interest rates have soared. Interest rate differentials are a critical factor for the…

The Independent UK

Wholesale inflation in US rises 2.2% in September, biggest year-over-year gain since April

U.S. wholesale prices rose last month at the fastest pace since April, suggesting that inflationary pressures remain despite a year and a half of higher interest rates

The Guardian - AU

Banks have only passed on three-quarters of interest rate rises to depositors, RBA says

Increase compares favourably with New Zealand and the US, Reserve Bank assistant governor says

Barchart

Dollar Weighed Down by the Outlook for a Fed Pause

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday fell by -0.23% and posted a 1-week low. A rally in stocks on Tuesday curbed the liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar was also under pressure Tuesday after comments from Atlanta Fed President Bostic bolstered speculation the Fed is heading toward a...

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