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The Latest Breaking News from Interest Rates

Stock Index Futures Move Higher as Bond Yields Plunge, Gap Stock Surges on Upbeat Earnings

December S&P 500 futures (ESZ23) are up +0.28%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ23) are up +0.06% this morning as U.S. Treasury yields continued to fall after this week’s soft U.S. inflation and jobs data spurred expectations among investors that interest rates have peaked.

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Move Higher as Bond Yields Plunge

Barchart

Fall in retail sales in Great Britain signals high street recession

Volumes drop 2.7% year on year in October as high interest rates and poor weather drive away shoppers

The Guardian - UK

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Can the U.S. Economy Achieve a Soft Landing?

The Federal Reserve, since early 2022, has been raising interest rates to ease inflation pressures without causing the economy to contract, an ideal scenario that some economists call a “soft landing.” A soft landing is defined as when the Fed is able to slow the economy enough to curb demand...

Barchart

U.S. applications for jobless claims rise in a labor market that remains very healthy

More Americans filed for jobless claims last week, but the labor market remains broadly healthy in the face of retreating inflation and elevated interest rates

The Independent UK

Cashing in? The mortgage-free landlords who are raising the rent anyway

Majority of letters with no exposure to rising interest rates are demanding more money in new tenancy agreements

The Guardian - UK

Lower inflation may be the hammer that cracks the unaffordable housing market for would-be homebuyers

Inflation slowing to 3.2% last month means home shoppers may benefit from stabilizing consumer prices and cheaper mortgages, if the Fed cuts interest rates.

Fortune

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Landmark site at gateway to Newcastle deserves a show-stopping plan

I COMPLETELY agree with Bradley Perrett's vision for the remaining Honeysuckle development ("Honeysuckle idea simply sucks", Newcastle Herald, 10/11), the supposed centrepiece of the city's waterfront development. No one would deny the need for more social and affordable housing, but not on the remaining section of Honeysuckle. There is an…

Newcastle Herald

Will Easing Price Pressures Allow the Fed to Cut Rates in Early 2024?

10-year T-note yields tumbled Tuesday after U.S. consumer prices in October fell more than expected, bolstering speculation the Fed was finished with its rate hike cycle and may even cut interest rates in early 2024. U.S. Oct CPI eased to +3.2% y/y from +3.7% y/y in Sep, better than expectations...

Barchart

US producer prices slide 0.5% in October, biggest drop since 2020.

U.S. wholesale prices fell sharply last month as inflationary pressure continued to ease in the face of a year and a half of higher interest rates

The Independent UK

Are customers losing interest in Wise?

City Comment: Rising interest rates have changed things for some of London's most successful fintechs

Evening Standard

European Commission lowers growth outlook and says economy has lost momentum during a difficult year

The European Union’s executive commission has lowered its growth forecast for this year and next, saying the economy “has lost momentum” in 2023 as inflation weights on consumer spending and higher central bank interest rates deter borrowing for purchases and investment

The Independent UK

Bank of England ‘will not cut interest rates despite inflation fall’

The decline has been hailed as a key victory for Rishi Sunak, who pledged to halve inflation, but it is also a win for the Bank of England

Evening Standard

UK inflation drops sharply to 4.6% as energy prices fall

Decline in annual rate in October eases fears that Bank of England will raise interest rates again this year

The Guardian - UK

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Barchart

Dollar Sinks as CPI Report Supports View that Fed’s Rate-Hikes Are Over

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday fell sharply by -1.50% and posted a 2-1/4 month low. The dollar sold off sharply Tuesday after U.S Oct consumer prices rose less than expected, bolstering the outlook that the Fed may be finished raising interest rates. The dollar extended its losses on...

The Guardian - UK

UK inflation expected to slow sharply, easing interest rate pressure

Economists expect October’s reading to fall almost two points to 4.8%, helped by drop in energy prices

Kiplinger

October CPI Report: What the Experts Are Saying About Inflation

A softer-than-expected CPI report could mean the Fed is done raising interest rates this cycle.

Barchart

Cost-Conscious Consumers are Boosting the Earnings of Discount Retailers

With higher interest rates and sticky inflation undercutting the purchasing power of most consumers, value retailers are holding up against a broader spending pullback as anxiety over the economy prompts shoppers to seek discounts and deals. Many of the off-price retailers, such as TJX Cos (TJX ), Ross Stores (ROST...

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AAP

Interest, cost blowouts threaten SA budget surplus

High inflation, rising interest rates and cost overruns may wipe out the South Australian government's projected budget surplus, the auditor-general has found.

WEKU

Tough housing market is luring buyers without kids and higher incomes

A report from the National Association of Realtors shows the average home buyer this past year had a six-figure income. Others face challenges in a period of high prices and costly home loans.

Evening Standard

FTSE 100 Live: Flat US inflation powers shares as London blue-chips close up 0.2%, BT cuts pension deficit

UK inflation fell to just 4.6%, its lowest level since 2021, in a key political victory for Rishi Sunak as well as a win in the Bank of England's battle to get prices back under control.

The Independent UK

Inflation likely eased last month thanks to cheaper gas but underlying price pressures may stay high

Inflation in the United States likely remained high last month, a trend that if sustained could raise concerns at the Federal Reserve, which is considering whether to raise interest rates again

AAP

CBA posts $2.5b in 1Q24 profit as arrears stay low

Australia's biggest bank says there was just a modest increase in late payments in the September quarter, despite the impact of higher interest rates.

AAP

Consumers, businesses still wary about the future

Consumer confidence has taken a hit after another round of interest rate pain, with businesses also cautious about the outlook despite economic resilience.

Fortune

Morgan Stanley’s investment chief expects stocks to rise just 2% in all of 2024—but these AI-era picks and defensive plays could help investors outperform

“The leading macro data suggests that we're in a late cycle market environment,” Morgan Stanley's Wilson wrote Monday, adding that it's stock pickers' world.

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