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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Iran war energy shock puts ECB on alert — Lagarde says this is no repeat of 2022

The Iran war has sent oil and gas prices surging and rate hike bets rising, but ECB chief Christine Lagarde says the eurozone is far better placed to absorb the shock than it was when Russia invaded Ukraine.

Euronews

Inflation holds at 3% in ‘calm before the storm’ of Iran war

The Office for National Statistics said the rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation was unchanged from the 3% level reported in January.

Evening Standard

Iran War Quietly Strains UK and Europe as Hidden Economic and Security Risks Escalate

The Iran conflict is quietly driving inflation, reshaping trade and testing security policies across the UK and Europe, with growing risks to daily life.

International Business Times UK

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Why is UK inflation steady and how will the Iran war affect it?

February’s inflation rate of 3% means if an item cost £100 a year ago, it would now cost £103.

Evening Standard

Travelodge says earnings squeezed by higher minimum wage and rent inflation

The budget hotel chain also reiterated its apology to a guest who was sexually assaulted by a man who was given a key card to her room in 2022.

Evening Standard

Average five-year fixed mortgages now cheaper than two-year deals

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the average house price increased by 1.3 per cent

The Independent UK

Average two-year mortgage rates are now higher than typical five-year deals

The conflict in the Middle East is causing concerns over path of interest rate setting, Moneyfacts said.

Evening Standard

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Which items saw a jump in inflation in February – and where did it ease?

The biggest upward pressure on prices came from clothing and kitchen electrical goods.

Evening Standard

Top central banker thinks businesses may be quicker to raise prices due to Iran war

Businesses might be quicker to raise prices in response to the Iran war due to bitter memories of the energy price inflation that broke out after Russia invaded Ukraine

The Independent UK

Markets rally, oil prices fall as Trump signals Iran talks

Oil prices fell more than 4% and European shares gained on Wednesday on the possibility of a de-escalation in the Iran war.

Euronews

Goldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge

Goldman said it expected six weeks of Hormuz disruption, with Brent crude averaging $105 per barrel in March and $115 in April before retreating to $80.

Fortune

Inflation in France jumps as Iran war hits growth and spending

France is heading for a sharp rise in inflation this spring as soaring oil prices linked to the conflict in Iran erode household purchasing power, with growth expected to slow in early 2026, the national statistics agency said.

Radio France Internationale

Bulletin AM briefing: New screen time guidance for under-5s – and today’s other top stories

Here are five of this morning’s biggest stories

The Independent UK

Inflation unchanged at 3% in 'calm before the storm' figures for February

City economists said the figures were largely irrelevant as they did not reflect the impact of the war in the Middle East

Evening Standard

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The Guardian - UK

ECB could raise eurozone rates ‘as soon as next month’; oil price dips on peace talk hopes – as it happened

UK inflation stays at 3% in February as petrol prices fall and food inflation eases, before Iran war drives up global energy costs

Evening Standard

FTSE 100 Live 25 March: Markets rally, inflation steady before oil price shock

Stocks today rallied after the price of oil fell on hopes of a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.

Evening Standard

UK inflation remains steady prior to impact of Iran conflict

The rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation was unchanged from the 3% level reported in January, the Office for National Statistics said.

The Independent UK

Politics latest: Starmer vows to go ‘further and faster’ on renewable energy to bring bills down during Iran crisis

Comes after Reeves warns Middle East conflict may cause ‘significant’ economic challenges for Britons amid soaring prices

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The Independent UK

UK inflation holds at 3% but warning issued over Iran war

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Inflation stays at 3% but Iran war set to send prices spiralling

Investors pricing in possibility of ‘multiple interest rate raises’ this year

The Guardian - UK

UK inflation held at 3% before global energy price hit from Iran war

February annual rate in line with expectations, but Food and Drink Federation fears it is ‘calm before storm’

The Guardian - AU

‘Political Band-Aid’: cutting Australia’s fuel excise could make petrol shortages worse, economists say

Fuel tax cuts also risk adding to inflation by enabling some households with enough income to spend more

The Guardian - AU

ABC strike: national broadcaster switches to BBC programming as staff walk off the job for 24 hours

Managing director Hugh Marks says broadcaster will not back down on workers’ demands despite severe disruption to television, radio and digital

The Independent UK

Shopping bill could soar by £150 due to Iran war, grocery expert warns

Food inflation could hit 8 per cent by the summer, putting extra pressure on consumers battling a cost-of-living crisis

Evening Standard

Households could face 8% jump in food prices due to Iran war, experts warn

IGD (Institute of Grocery Distribution) said the conflict in the Middle East could result in food inflation more than doubling by the summer.

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