The Latest Breaking News from Crisis Group

Expert analyses find ethnic armed groups and anti-coup forces consolidating their positions after major offensive.

The risk of a "major miscalculation" in the Middle East is growing by the day as the war between Israel and Hamas rages on, Comfort Ero, president of the Crisis Group NGO, told AFP. Ongoing conflicts across the globe, from Sudan to Ukraine, are also creating a bleak geopolitical landscape.

Splits within the armed group have led to factions setting up bases across northern Nigeria and the Lake Chad region.

Zimbabweans head to the polls Wednesday for presidential and general elections that come amid a worsening economic crisis. It's tipped to be a tight race. While the opposition appears to have seduced the youth vote, the ruling party ZANU-PF still leads the polls.