ANALYSIS — President Donald Trump’s ever-changing tariff policies have rocked the stock market, but they could also complicate Republicans’ effort to maintain their majorities on Capitol Hill.
While a volatile or slumping economy is an obvious political risk for the party in power ahead of an election, there’s more nuance to Republicans’ specific challenge in the upcoming midterms.
Republicans have a turnout problem. They are now the party of lower-propensity voters, and there’s no guarantee that the coalition that elected Trump to a second term will turn out for other Republican candidates in elections when the president isn’t on the ballot.