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Ballotpedia
Ballotpedia
Ellen Morrissey

Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt market

PredictIt Republican Donald Trump RCP RealClearPolitics Gavin Newsom Joe Biden Ron DeSantis

As of July 4, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Trump’s polling average currently stands at 52%, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican primary market, Trump’s share price is $0.56, and DeSantis’ share price is $0.25. No other candidate has a share price at or above $0.10. 

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