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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Sanam Vakil

This isn’t a real ceasefire in Gaza – it’s a holding pattern before war returns

Women surveying damage to their home after Israeli airstrikes on Gaza City, 29 October 2025
Women surveying damage to their home after Israeli airstrikes on Gaza City, 29 October 2025. Photograph: Mohammed Saber/EPA

Israel’s recent airstrikes in Gaza, which have killed more than 100 people, show just how fragile this arrangement truly is. This is not the first violation since it came into effect on 10 October, but rather one of many over past weeks – showcasing that without stronger enforcement mechanisms and determined planning this is a ceasefire in name only.

According to Israel, this round of violence resulted from Hamas fire against IDF forces in Rafah, an area still under Israeli control, resulting in the death of an IDF reservist. Hamas has denied involvement. Israel responded with additional strikes on Gaza City and Khan Younis. With each side interpreting violations to suit its own interests, the ceasefire’s vague structure leaves a wide margin for miscalculation and opportunism.

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