The White House celebrated Labor Day by announcing that President Donald Trump's "protectionist trade policies have helped drive more than $8 trillion in new U.S. investment." The accompanying photo refers to "$8 trillion in tariff revenue." There's a difference between $8 trillion in U.S. investment and $8 trillion in tariff revenue, but Trump's trade policies have achieved neither.
The second claim is easier to refute. The Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) calculates the gross tariff and excise tax revenue generated from January 1 to August 28 to be $158.8 billion, according to the Treasury Department's Daily Treasury Statements. The customs and excise taxes collected from January 20, when Trump took office, to August 28 amount to about $156 billion.
According to the Treasury Department's own data, the president's policies have clearly not raised anywhere near $8 trillion; they've raised 2 percent of this figure. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the tariffs Trump has implemented since January will generate an estimated $3.3 trillion over 10 years—significantly less than the $8 trillion that the White House is claiming the tariffs have already raised.
