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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Phillip Inman

The Tories know the game is up, even if the City of London doesn’t

Close up of elderly woman listening to music and running
True blue over-55s may be waking up to the legacy of Conservative laissez-faire economics. Photograph: Viacheslav Lakobchuk/Alamy

Economic menus have rarely sounded so bland. A mild recession in 2023, followed by a fall in inflation and, for dessert, a return to modest growth.

The current consensus view among City economists of next year’s overarching economic outlook would appear to be fairly benign, compared with the Armageddon promised by the Truss/Kwarteng fiasco of a few months ago. They forecast an absence of job losses, except at the margins of the retail industry, hospitality and maybe construction, though worker shortages would mean that even in these sectors, most people looking for a job would find one.

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