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Barchart
Barchart
Josh Enomoto

The Saturday Spread: Letting the Smart Money Act as an Early Warning Sign

While the financial publication industry exploded with content regarding the potential popping of the gold and silver bubble, you’ll notice that early in the week, I issued a bearish story on gold mining juggernaut Newmont (NEM). I’m not here to say that I have some special insight into how securities behave because that would be absurd. However, I mention NEM stock because it gave two clear signals that something wasn’t right.

First, the volatility skew — which identifies implied volatility (IV) or a stock’s potential kinetic output across the strike prices of the same expiration date — of various options chains demonstrated the hedged nature of the gold miner. Essentially, traders wanted upside optionality but preferred the exposure synthetically instead of via actual ownership of NEM stock.

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