ANALYSIS — Time did not bring clarity to the fight to control Congress. After nearly two years since the midterm elections and only days left before Nov. 5, it’s still not clear whether Republicans or Democrats will have a House majority next year.
While Republicans still have a clear advantage in the fight for control of the Senate, the fight for the House looks as close as the neck-and-neck presidential race. The final set of House ratings changes from Inside Elections (15 changes in total) demonstrates that close contest. Republicans are favored in 213 seats (rated as Solid, Likely, Lean or Tilt) and Democrats are favored in 214, and the eight toss-ups are divided evenly with each party currently representing four of them.
That means Democrats likely need to win four of the Toss-ups to get to 218 while Republicans need to win five. It’s the first time all cycle that Democrats are even slightly favored to win a majority in the district-by-district analysis.
