An exclusive survey for the Evening Standard carried out by JL Partners shows Labour has significant leads in the polls, ahead of three by-elections on 20th July.
The data reveals a striking eight-point lead for Labour in Uxbridge & South Ruislip, a 12 point lead in Selby & Ainsty, and the Liberal Democrats appear to be in the driving seat ahead of the vote in Somerton & Frome.
In 2023, there could be a further three by-elections held across England and Scotland, as the futures of Chris Pincher, Nadine Dorries, and Margaret Ferrier are still unknown.
So, as these Tory by-elections stack up, how much trouble are the Conservatives in? And what will the results of these votes reveal about the public’s political leanings ahead of the next general election?
Our Political Editor Nicholas Cecil considers the Conservative Party’s chances in these three by-elections, and looks ahead to the general election, which is expected in 2024.