The NFL has a strength of schedule formula that's very simple to understand ... take the opponents' records from the previous season, add up the wins and losses and calculate a percentage for all 17 opponents. In the world of fantasy football, we use a similar method. Instead of using team records, we use the number of fantasy points allowed (FPA) by defenses the previous season against a single position (both at home and on the road) and rank the teams/players according to the average.
For example, the Houston Texans allowed an average of 36 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers overall last season. However, their defense was tougher on the road (32.7 PPG allowed) than at home (38.2 PPG allowed). Therefore, a wideout who faces the Texans at home receives 38.2 points. On the flip side, a home receiver who faces Houston receives 32.7 points. This goes a step deeper than typical FPA analysis, which is based on a combined average of the home and road numbers. The bigger the overall point total per team, the easier the projected schedule for next season.
